Helpful-Castanet
0x77aec2bb6402c97c59f4f38462bb39cafffe8b7b
Wallet digest
Activity score
73/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
12
Open notional
$198.88
Total PnL
$-945.07
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 12- YES
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
1852 shares @ 5.4¢·now 6.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$112.04
$12.04
- YES
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
5263 shares @ 1.9¢·now 1.7¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$86.84
$-13.15
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - July 4, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET
1359 shares @ 14.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 4, 2026$0.00
$-200.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 4, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET
942 shares @ 21.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 4, 2026$0.00
$-200.00
- YES
Will Belgium win on 2026-07-01?
435 shares @ 46.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$0.00
$-200.00
- OVER
Spain vs. Austria: 1st Half O/U 1.5
263 shares @ 38.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 2, 2026$0.00
$-100.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 4, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET
259 shares @ 38.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 4, 2026$0.00
$-100.00
- YES
Bosnia and Herzegovina to score first vs. United States?
217 shares @ 23.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 2, 2026$0.00
$-50.00
- AUSTRIA
Spain vs. Austria: Team to Take First Corner
158 shares @ 31.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 2, 2026$0.00
$-50.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 1, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET
76 shares @ 32.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$0.00
$-24.23
Recent activity
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 4, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET$9.74Jul 4, 10:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 4, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET$102.80Jul 4, 10:16 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 4, 6AM ET$105.79Jul 4, 10:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 4, 6AM ET$102.87Jul 4, 10:13 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 4, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET$52.51Jul 4, 09:57 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 4, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET$146.48Jul 4, 09:56 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 4, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET$452.08Jul 4, 09:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 4, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET$102.73Jul 4, 09:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 4, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET$101.96Jul 4, 09:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 4, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET$102.31Jul 4, 09:52 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 4, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET$358.12Jul 4, 09:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 4, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET$103.04Jul 4, 09:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 4, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET$103.00Jul 4, 09:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 4, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET$102.92Jul 4, 09:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 4, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET$102.22Jul 4, 09:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 4, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET$104.30Jul 4, 09:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 4, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET$50.15Jul 4, 09:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - July 4, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET$106.35Jul 4, 07:47 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 4, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET$90.67Jul 4, 07:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 4, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET$105.32Jul 4, 07:46 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
42 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 70/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 42
- Avg trade size
- $107.98
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 2, 00:17 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 4, 10:18 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.