Trivial-Bay
0x77b54a503a486119a675faf1644c4ddc2a11fd28
Wallet digest
Activity score
38/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-3.9K
Realised
$-54.97
Win rate
20%
20 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET
215 shares @ 4.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 12, 2026$0.00
$-9.91
- DOWN
Solana Up or Down - March 2, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET
136 shares @ 23.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 2, 2026$0.00
$-31.26
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - May 25, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET
135 shares @ 34.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 25, 2026$0.00
$-45.91
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - May 15, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET
127 shares @ 52.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 15, 2026$0.00
$-66.97
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET
118 shares @ 52.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 16, 2026$0.00
$-62.24
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET
115 shares @ 42.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 30, 2026$0.00
$-48.80
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - May 25, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET
115 shares @ 43.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 25, 2026$0.00
$-49.94
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET
115 shares @ 33.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$0.00
$-38.20
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET
110 shares @ 32.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 30, 2026$0.00
$-35.19
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - May 25, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET
102 shares @ 49.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 25, 2026$0.00
$-49.96
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET$6.09Jun 24, 23:03 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - June 24, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET$10.50Jun 24, 20:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - June 24, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET$6.27Jun 24, 20:18 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET$0.00Jun 24, 19:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET$20.63Jun 24, 19:07 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET$0.00Jun 23, 00:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET$6.87Jun 22, 23:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET$20.50Jun 21, 17:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET$20.63Jun 21, 01:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET$20.66Jun 21, 01:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET$8.22Jun 21, 01:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - June 20, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET$8.52Jun 20, 20:18 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET$35.71Jun 14, 22:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET$20.62Jun 14, 22:17 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET$43.48Jun 14, 17:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET$20.76Jun 14, 16:52 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET$36.36Jun 14, 16:49 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET$36.36Jun 14, 16:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET$20.63Jun 14, 16:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET$20.63Jun 14, 16:37 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
52/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
20% win rate over 20 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
32 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 40/100.
20 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 32
- Avg trade size
- $17.34
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 8, 14:47 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 24, 23:03 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 20 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.