Short-Octagon
0x77ba147dedfc7777ab87320359a10214364e26af
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
13
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-299.45
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 13- YES
Will Trump talk to Vladimir Putin in January?
1000 shares @ 1.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-11.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 31, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 36-37°F on February 13?
244 shares @ 53.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 13, 2026$0.00
$-131.45
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 31, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET
87 shares @ 22.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-19.84
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 19, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET
85 shares @ 50.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 19, 2026$0.00
$-42.78
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 31, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET
71 shares @ 7.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-4.99
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 31, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET
56 shares @ 35.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-19.74
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 31, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET
38 shares @ 52.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-19.69
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 31, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET
29 shares @ 67.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-19.76
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 6, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET
25 shares @ 70.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 6, 2026$0.00
$-17.46
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 24, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET$2.25Feb 24, 13:52 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in February?$2.25Feb 23, 23:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 19, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET$43.46Feb 19, 11:34 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 19, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET$43.46Feb 19, 11:33 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 19, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET$0.00Feb 19, 11:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 19, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET$29.00Feb 19, 11:18 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 19, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET$29.00Feb 19, 11:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 19, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET$16.20Feb 19, 11:03 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 38-39°F on February 13?$16.20Feb 19, 11:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 38-39°F on February 13?$10.29Feb 13, 19:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 36-37°F on February 13?$2.70Feb 13, 18:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 36-37°F on February 13?$2.74Feb 13, 18:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 36-37°F on February 13?$102.72Feb 13, 18:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 36-37°F on February 13?$3.39Feb 13, 18:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 36-37°F on February 13?$1.39Feb 13, 18:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 36-37°F on February 13?$2.70Feb 13, 18:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 36-37°F on February 13?$5.40Feb 13, 18:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 36-37°F on February 13?$10.40Feb 13, 18:44 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 64-65°F on February 12?$44.99Feb 13, 09:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 64-65°F on February 12?$34.49Feb 12, 20:06 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 43
- Avg trade size
- $26.47
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 31, 20:43 UTC
- Last active
- Feb 24, 13:52 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.