Wallet digest

active

Activity score

39/100

Performance measurable

Open positions

Open notional

$7.52

Total PnL

$-1.2K

Realised

$-156.56

Win rate

12 closed

Guardrail: wallet activity is not profitability, and large trades are not smart money. Use the sample, concentration, and copy-risk dimensions before reading this profile as meaningful.

Largest open positions

showing 10 of 59

UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 29, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET
8 shares @ 75.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 29, 2026
$7.52
$1.88
UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 29, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET
295 shares @ 2.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 29, 2026
$0.00
$-6.13
UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 29, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET
234 shares @ 52.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 29, 2026
$0.00
$-122.00
UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 29, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET
152 shares @ 63.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 29, 2026
$0.00
$-96.18
UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 29, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET
81 shares @ 60.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 29, 2026
$0.00
$-48.53
UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 29, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET
63 shares @ 42.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 29, 2026
$0.00
$-27.00
UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 29, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET
58 shares @ 67.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 29, 2026
$0.00
$-39.02
DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 29, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET
56 shares @ 59.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 29, 2026
$0.00
$-33.31
UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 29, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET
49 shares @ 46.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 29, 2026
$0.00
$-22.52
UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 29, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET
48 shares @ 53.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 29, 2026
$0.00
$-25.42

Recent activity

TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 29, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET$5.69Mar 29, 21:47 UTC
REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 29, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET$6.45Mar 29, 21:32 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 29, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET$4.82Mar 29, 21:25 UTC
REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 29, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET$10.11Mar 29, 21:02 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 29, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET$25.82Mar 29, 21:02 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 29, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET$5.76Mar 29, 20:56 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 29, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET$4.65Mar 29, 20:32 UTC
REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 29, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET$7.22Mar 29, 20:27 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 29, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET$7.19Mar 29, 20:26 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 29, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET$6.10Mar 29, 20:26 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 29, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET$10.91Mar 29, 20:26 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 29, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET$4.43Mar 29, 20:26 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 29, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET$5.46Mar 29, 20:20 UTC
REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 29, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET$8.81Mar 29, 20:17 UTC
REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 29, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET$8.97Mar 29, 20:12 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 29, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET$5.45Mar 29, 20:10 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 29, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET$6.26Mar 29, 20:07 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 29, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET$6.85Mar 29, 20:05 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 29, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET$6.85Mar 29, 20:05 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 29, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET$17.42Mar 29, 19:49 UTC

Persistent ledger timeline

persistent

No trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.

Ledger intelligence

persistent

7d volume

$0.00

0 trades

30d volume

$0.00

0 trades

Buy share

50%

Sample

low

0 ledger trades

No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.

Profile dimensions

Activity40 / 100

Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.

Performance confidence40 / 100

How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.

Specialization0 / 100

Share of trades concentrated in their top category.

Early-entry83 / 100

Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.

Copy-risk63 / 100

How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.

Trades (all time): 40
Avg trade size: $8.95
Top category: —
Category concentration: 0%
First seen: Mar 29, 17:53 UTC
Last active: Mar 29, 21:47 UTC
Win rate sample: 12 closed

The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.

View on Polymarket View on Polygonscan

updated 16:18:43 UTC·src:Polymarket Data