Chilly-Prompt
0x77c1b822935a657d5ae9e87e395f49f19daf52e7
Wallet digest
Activity score
30/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
20
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-369.04
Realised
$-95.40
Win rate
0%
6 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 20- YES
Will the price of XRP be between $1.70 and $1.80 on January 1?
270 shares @ 1.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2026$0.00
$-4.32
- YES
Will the price of XRP be between $1.90 and $2.00 on January 9?
266 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 9, 2026$0.00
$-1.86
- YES
Will the price of XRP be between $1.90 and $2.00 on January 1?
265 shares @ 1.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2026$0.00
$-3.44
- YES
Will Ethereum reach $3,300 December 29-January 4?
255 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 5, 2026$0.00
$-2.04
- NO
Will the price of XRP be above $1.70 on January 2?
248 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 2, 2026$0.00
$-1.49
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be between $3,200 and $3,300 on January 3?
248 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 3, 2026$0.00
$-1.98
- YES
Will the price of XRP be above $2.20 on January 10?
242 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 10, 2026$0.00
$-1.45
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - January 11, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET
240 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 12, 2026$0.00
$-1.44
- NO
Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,200 on January 16?
238 shares @ 1.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 16, 2026$0.00
$-3.10
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,500 on January 16?
236 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 16, 2026$0.00
$-1.65
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $1,700 on June 5?$17.67Jun 4, 17:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be less than $68,000 on June 2?$95.58Jun 1, 18:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be above $1.40 on May 28?$1.76May 27, 19:18 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on May 26?$106.25May 26, 18:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on May 26?$104.55May 26, 02:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $80,000 and $82,000 on May 25?$1.42May 24, 17:19 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Solana be above $90 on May 17?$89.63May 17, 19:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Solana be above $90 on May 17?$0.25May 17, 03:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Solana be above $90 on May 17?$87.94May 16, 20:30 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Solana be between $100 and $110 on May 10?$98.10May 10, 19:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Solana be between $100 and $110 on May 10?$19.70May 9, 18:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Solana be between $100 and $110 on May 10?$76.44May 9, 16:29 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ethena dip to $0.08 in March?$24.86May 3, 03:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill XRP dip to $1.35 on April 25?$1.76Apr 26, 01:54 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin reach $76,000 on April 15?$86.82Apr 26, 01:54 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Solana be above $140 on January 5?$0.00Apr 19, 16:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $76,000 on April 15?$83.52Apr 16, 01:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on April 12?$1.35Apr 11, 17:18 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on March 29?$86.93Apr 11, 17:18 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be above $3,100 on January 1?$0.00Mar 31, 17:36 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
19/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 6 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
36 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 52/100.
6 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 36
- Avg trade size
- $27.32
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 5, 03:20 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 4, 17:01 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 6 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.