Elementary-Musculature
0x77c1f64e9bb1e859ef7efb9a5f18b1825cb2e407
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
39
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-2.5K
Realised
$320.40
Win rate
50%
4 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 39- NO
Will the US strike Syria next?
17908 shares @ 1.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-199.99
- YES
Will the US next strike Iran on January 12, 2026 (ET)?
6711 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
US strikes Iran by January 23, 2026?
3750 shares @ 8.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-300.00
- YES
Will US or Israel strike Iran by February 15, 2026?
2202 shares @ 22.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-498.81
- YES
Will the US next strike Iran on January 29, 2026 (ET)?
1861 shares @ 1.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-33.00
- YES
Will the US next strike Iran on January 21, 2026 (ET)?
1524 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will the US next strike Iran on February 19, 2026 (ET)?
1458 shares @ 4.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-70.00
- YES
Will the US next strike Iran on January 27, 2026 (ET)?
1388 shares @ 1.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
US strikes Iran by January 13, 2026?
1388 shares @ 7.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-100.00
- YES
Will the US next strike Iran on February 7, 2026 (ET)?
1232 shares @ 1.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill France strike Iran by March 31?$43.28Mar 4, 08:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill France strike Iran by March 31?$60.60Mar 3, 20:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran x Israel/US conflict ends by March 31?$700.00Mar 1, 11:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US officially declare war on Iran by March 31, 2026?$15.00Feb 28, 06:44 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the US next strike Iran before March 2026 (ET)?$133.13Feb 28, 06:31 UTC
- TRADESELLWill US or Israel strike Iran by February 28, 2026?$587.11Feb 28, 06:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US next strike Iran before March 2026 (ET)?$30.00Feb 26, 17:28 UTC
- TRADESELLWill US or Israel strike Iran by February 28, 2026?$21.77Feb 22, 15:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US next strike Iran on February 21, 2026 (ET)?$30.00Feb 19, 07:08 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the US next strike Iran on February 22, 2026 (ET)?$30.58Feb 19, 07:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US next strike Iran on February 18, 2026 (ET)?$5.00Feb 18, 21:52 UTC
- TRADESELLWill US or Israel strike Iran by February 28, 2026?$11.19Feb 18, 21:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill US or Israel strike Iran by February 28, 2026?$384.85Feb 18, 20:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US next strike Iran on February 22, 2026 (ET)?$50.00Feb 18, 20:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US next strike Iran on February 20, 2026 (ET)?$50.00Feb 18, 20:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US next strike Iran on February 19, 2026 (ET)?$50.00Feb 18, 20:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US next strike Iran on February 21, 2026 (ET)?$20.00Feb 18, 20:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US next strike Iran on February 20, 2026 (ET)?$20.00Feb 18, 20:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US next strike Iran on February 19, 2026 (ET)?$20.00Feb 18, 20:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US next strike Iran on February 9, 2026 (ET)?$6.00Feb 9, 15:50 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $88.67
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 29, 20:53 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 4, 08:16 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 4 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.