Calm-Dusk
0x77c344e1715c35d1424881c14e5a9f6911dd00c8
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
32
Open notional
$135.8K
Total PnL
$2.6K
Realised
$826.02
Win rate
71%
14 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 32- NO
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?
63818 shares @ 97.9¢·now 99.6¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$63.5K
$1.0K
- NO
Trump out as President before 2027?
20996 shares @ 84.8¢·now 90.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$18.9K
$1.1K
- NO
Iran coup attempt by June 30?
14680 shares @ 95.0¢·now 98.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$14.5K
$510.05
- NO
Iran Nuke before 2027?
8400 shares @ 89.5¢·now 92.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$7.7K
$213.74
- NO
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of June?
7726 shares @ 95.0¢·now 99.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$7.7K
$344.65
- NO
Will Russia invade another country in 2026?
6000 shares @ 87.7¢·now 89.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$5.3K
$80.02
- NO
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by June 30?
4096 shares @ 90.3¢·now 98.7¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$4.0K
$342.60
- NO
Will any U.S. House member enter Iran by June 30?
3703 shares @ 96.5¢·now 98.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$3.6K
$53.56
- NO
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 13?
3110 shares @ 92.6¢·now 95.1¢·exp Jun 13, 2026$3.0K
$77.08
- NO
Mojtaba Khamenei leaves Iran by June 30, 2026?
2128 shares @ 97.0¢·now 98.8¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$2.1K
$37.14
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?$55.80Jun 14, 12:21 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?$56.75Jun 14, 10:51 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?$2.36Jun 14, 10:18 UTC
- TRADESELLUS announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 13?$223.53Jun 14, 06:52 UTC
- TRADESELLUS announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 13?$0.36Jun 14, 06:52 UTC
- TRADESELLUS announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 13?$497.06Jun 14, 06:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 13?$609.70Jun 14, 05:32 UTC
- TRADESELLUS announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 13?$964.35Jun 14, 05:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 13?$843.64Jun 14, 05:11 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?$1.2KJun 14, 05:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 13?$384.00Jun 14, 03:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?$1.2KJun 14, 03:41 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of June?$2.6KJun 14, 03:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?$19.07Jun 14, 03:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 13?$211.32Jun 14, 03:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 13?$2.98Jun 14, 03:32 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?$199.20Jun 14, 03:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 13?$46.67Jun 14, 02:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 13?$48.52Jun 14, 02:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 13?$667.10Jun 14, 02:21 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 49
- Avg trade size
- $305.56
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 13, 14:37 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 14, 12:21 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 14 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.