Negligible-Embellishment
0x77d7f8077e31ff13b0d291c4e12e08f8e666bdee
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
28
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-531.77
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 28- YES
Will Ron DeSantis win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
2000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will Joe Biden win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
2000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will any other Republican Politician win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
1067 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-4.00
- YES
Will any other Democratic Politician win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
1000 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Ethereum hit $3500 by February 28 2025?
392 shares @ 16.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2025$0.00
$-62.77
- NO
Will Tim Walz be D-nom for VP on Election Day?
307 shares @ 3.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2024$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Bitcoin above $65,000 on October 4?
242 shares @ 12.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 4, 2024$0.00
$-29.00
- YES
Eigenlayer market cap (FDV) between $10-15b one day after launch?
222 shares @ 9.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2024$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Will a Democrat win Pennsylvania Presidential Election?
222 shares @ 45.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-100.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum hit $3500 by February 28 2025?$62.77Feb 3, 10:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $110,000 in December?$50.00Dec 11, 20:08 UTC
- REDEEMCommanders vs. Eagles$46.15Dec 10, 18:33 UTC
- REDEEMSolana all time high in Q4?$176.47Dec 10, 18:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum reach $3,750 in November?$30.00Nov 13, 09:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYPackers vs. Bears$10.00Nov 13, 09:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYVikings vs. Titans$15.00Nov 13, 09:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYCommanders vs. Eagles$30.00Nov 13, 09:30 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Hitler" during Pennsylvania rally on Oct 29?$13.51Nov 6, 08:33 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$267.38Nov 6, 08:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Hitler" during Pennsylvania rally on Oct 29?$10.00Oct 29, 08:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$50.00Oct 29, 08:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "trans" during Georgia rally on October 23?$6.00Oct 23, 11:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "MAGA" 2 or more times during Georgia rally on October 23?$5.00Oct 23, 11:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "get out and vote" during Georgia rally on October 23?$10.00Oct 23, 11:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin above $62,000 on October 18?$1.00Oct 17, 10:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana all time high in Q4?$30.00Oct 16, 08:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "crypto" or "Bitcoin" during Georgia speech on Oct 15?$6.00Oct 15, 11:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Kamala" 20 or more times during Georgia speech on Oct 15?$10.00Oct 15, 11:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Tim Walz be D-nom for VP on Election Day?$10.00Oct 14, 12:42 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 41
- Avg trade size
- $48.98
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Sep 28, 07:50 UTC
- Last active
- Feb 3, 10:49 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".