Steel-Regulation
0x77e02c5f9e18e69fdc1bf9a03a604b040715063a
Wallet digest
Activity score
62/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-901.14
Realised
$31.94
Win rate
80%
20 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - March 1, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET
1076 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 1, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - March 6, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 6, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - March 29, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 29, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Portugal vs. Uzbekistan end in a draw?
428 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 23, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - March 1, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET
376 shares @ 1.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 1, 2026$0.00
$-6.00
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - April 21, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET
291 shares @ 5.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 21, 2026$0.00
$-14.91
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - February 28, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET
264 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-1.59
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - March 7, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET
262 shares @ 1.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 7, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - February 28, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET
214 shares @ 3.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-7.99
Recent activity
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - July 4, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET$0.00Jul 5, 05:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - July 4, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET$1.06Jul 4, 18:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - July 4, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET$1.06Jul 4, 18:04 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - July 3, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET$0.00Jul 3, 18:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - July 3, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET$1.07Jul 3, 17:42 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - July 3, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET$0.00Jul 3, 17:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - July 3, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET$1.07Jul 3, 17:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - July 3, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET$1.07Jul 3, 17:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - July 3, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET$2.10Jul 3, 17:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - July 3, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET$2.10Jul 3, 17:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - July 2, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET$1.07Jul 2, 18:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - July 2, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET$1.06Jul 2, 18:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - July 2, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET$1.06Jul 2, 18:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - July 2, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET$2.10Jul 2, 18:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - July 2, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET$1.07Jul 2, 18:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - July 2, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET$1.06Jul 2, 18:44 UTC
- TRADESELLEthereum Up or Down - July 2, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET$4.10Jul 2, 18:44 UTC
- TRADESELLEthereum Up or Down - July 2, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET$3.18Jul 2, 18:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - July 2, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET$2.07Jul 2, 18:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - July 2, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET$2.09Jul 2, 18:41 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
40/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
80% win rate over 20 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
46 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 34/100.
20 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 46
- Avg trade size
- $2.59
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 17, 17:04 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 5, 05:37 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 20 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.