Confused-Sip
0x77e9140419b12641163b142807c8d562f8bb9a1f
Wallet digest
Activity score
72/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
39
Open notional
$37.16
Total PnL
$-5.84
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 39- YES
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
8 shares @ 24.5¢·now 24.4¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$2.00
$-0.00
- YES
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?
2 shares @ 95.9¢·now 95.7¢·exp May 31, 2026$1.99
$-0.01
- YES
Will Trump say "Midterm Election" this week?
8 shares @ 12.0¢·now 21.0¢·exp May 17, 2026$1.75
$0.75
- YES
Cuban regime falls in 2026?
7 shares @ 27.0¢·now 21.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.59
$-0.41
- YES
Will Trump say "Cuba" this week?
3 shares @ 79.0¢·now 54.5¢·exp May 24, 2026$1.38
$-0.62
- NO
Andalusia Election: PP Absolute Majority?
3 shares @ 35.0¢·now 43.5¢·exp May 17, 2026$1.24
$0.24
- YES
Will Anthropic have the #1 AI model at the end of May 2026 (Style Control On)?
1 shares @ 81.0¢·now 89.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$1.10
$0.10
- NO
Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Colombia's election?
1 shares @ 89.0¢·now 94.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$1.06
$0.06
- YES
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
6 shares @ 17.4¢·now 17.8¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$1.02
$0.02
- NO
Will Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?
1 shares @ 75.0¢·now 76.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.02
$0.02
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Soldier Boy die in "The Boys: Season 5"?$1.00May 16, 21:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ashley Barrett die in "The Boys: Season 5"?$1.04May 16, 21:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Starmer say "Apologize" or "Apology" during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?$1.03May 16, 21:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill MrBeast say "America" during his next YouTube video?$1.04May 16, 21:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill MrBeast say "Donate" or "Donated" during his next YouTube video?$1.04May 16, 21:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill MrBeast say "Jet" during his next YouTube video?$1.04May 16, 21:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill MrBeast say "Cash" during his next YouTube video?$1.04May 16, 21:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?$1.00May 16, 21:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYGTA 6 launch postponed again?$1.04May 16, 21:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYAnother GTA VI trailer released by May 31?$1.02May 16, 21:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump out as President before GTA VI?$1.02May 16, 21:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill China invades Taiwan before GTA VI?$1.02May 16, 21:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?$1.02May 16, 21:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Take-Two Q4 net bookings be above $1.70B?$1.01May 16, 21:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYAnthropic valued higher than OpenAI in 2026?$1.00May 16, 21:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?$1.01May 16, 21:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?$1.00May 16, 21:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$1.00May 16, 21:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$2.06May 16, 21:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump and Putin not meet?$1.00May 16, 21:06 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 39
- Avg trade size
- $1.12
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 16, 20:31 UTC
- Last active
- May 16, 21:21 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".