Partial-Incision
0x77ea403b18e06ff5b29c1c8d2e96689808608187
Wallet digest
Activity score
49/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
12
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-2.0K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 12- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 7, 8AM ET
1754 shares @ 29.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 7, 2025$0.00
$-522.80
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down on August 14?
1176 shares @ 1.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 14, 2025$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $114K on August 28 at 4PM ET?
947 shares @ 24.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 28, 2025$0.00
$-227.29
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 5AM ET
748 shares @ 38.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 9, 2025$0.00
$-288.33
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 21, 4PM ET
720 shares @ 41.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 21, 2025$0.00
$-300.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down on August 17?
676 shares @ 14.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 17, 2025$0.00
$-94.58
- NO
Bitcoin above $110K on August 22?
595 shares @ 17.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 22, 2025$0.00
$-101.21
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down on August 16?
364 shares @ 26.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 16, 2025$0.00
$-94.60
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 14, 11AM ET
262 shares @ 39.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 14, 2025$0.00
$-103.18
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 4AM ET
240 shares @ 40.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 9, 2025$0.00
$-95.84
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 12AM ET$114.22Sep 20, 03:39 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - September 19, 1AM ET$417.95Sep 19, 05:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - September 19, 1AM ET$233.99Sep 19, 05:03 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 11PM ET$234.00Sep 19, 05:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 11PM ET$114.17Sep 19, 02:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 5AM ET$288.33Sep 9, 09:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 4AM ET$95.84Sep 9, 08:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - September 7, 8AM ET$227.30Sep 7, 12:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - September 7, 8AM ET$295.50Sep 7, 11:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $114K on August 28 at 4PM ET?$227.29Aug 28, 06:19 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down on August 24?$0.00Aug 25, 09:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down on August 24?$324.70Aug 24, 13:52 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - August 24, 6AM ET$324.70Aug 24, 13:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 24, 6AM ET$227.29Aug 24, 10:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin above $110K on August 22?$101.21Aug 22, 12:37 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - August 21, 10AM ET$0.00Aug 21, 20:43 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - August 21, 10AM ET$0.00Aug 21, 20:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 21, 4PM ET$300.00Aug 21, 20:33 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - August 21, 10AM ET$735.00Aug 21, 20:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 21, 10AM ET$205.80Aug 21, 14:22 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
27 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 57/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 27
- Avg trade size
- $150.56
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Aug 14, 14:09 UTC
- Last active
- Sep 20, 03:39 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.