Flaky-Patrol
0x780d0d175a32d38e27619460893fa69a520e720a
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
2
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-67.52
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWho will win the VP debate according to polls?$54.19Oct 3, 03:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWho will win the VP debate according to polls?$2.00Oct 3, 02:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWho will win the VP debate according to polls?$49.30Oct 2, 02:29 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Tim Walz say "Tampon" during the debate?$49.28Oct 2, 02:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Tim Walz say "Tampon" during the debate?$48.98Oct 2, 01:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2024 meeting?$12.57Sep 18, 03:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2024 meeting?$20.95Sep 18, 03:34 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump say "drill baby drill" at debate?$2.71Sep 11, 03:20 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump say "drill baby drill" at debate?$10.28Sep 11, 03:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "drill baby drill" at debate?$8.58Sep 11, 00:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kamala say "JD" or "Vance" at debate?$34.00Sep 11, 00:57 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the 49ers win Super Bowl 2025?$42.60Sep 11, 00:55 UTC
- REDEEMWill Biden say "Project 2025" at DNC speech?$0.00Sep 7, 19:04 UTC
- REDEEMWill Biden say "MAGA" at DNC speech?$0.00Sep 7, 19:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Biden say "Project 2025" at DNC speech?$7.75Aug 20, 01:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Biden say "MAGA" at DNC speech?$61.00Aug 20, 01:28 UTC
- TRADESELLIsrael military action against Iran in August?$30.45Aug 19, 17:16 UTC
- TRADESELLTim Walz replaced as Democratic VP nominee?$38.00Aug 19, 00:05 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump post on X again before election?$0.00Aug 18, 17:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael military action against Iran in August?$22.40Aug 14, 03:05 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
2/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
31 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 51/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 31
- Avg trade size
- $24.53
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 24, 05:58 UTC
- Last active
- Oct 3, 03:00 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.