Determined-Rear
0x781473d64cb67e85dbb5264c4dc1078d9fc75ece
Wallet digest
Activity score
49/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
13
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-722.03
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 13- YES
Will the AfD win 10-15% of the vote in the German election?
16571 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 23, 2025$0.00
$-99.99
- YES
Will "I'm Still Here" win Best Picture at the 2025 Oscars?
2166 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 2, 2025$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Will "A Complete Unknown" win Best Picture at the 2025 Oscars?
2133 shares @ 4.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 2, 2025$0.00
$-100.00
- YES
Will "Wicked" win Best Picture at the 2025 Oscars?
2117 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 2, 2025$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Will "Captain America" Opening Weekend Box Office be more than $91m?
1860 shares @ 6.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 17, 2025$0.00
$-111.72
- YES
Will "Emilia Pérez" win Best Picture at the 2025 Oscars?
1801 shares @ 5.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 2, 2025$0.00
$-100.00
- YES
Will "Nickel Boys" win Best Picture at the 2025 Oscars?
1654 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 2, 2025$0.00
$-8.20
- YES
Will "The Substance" win Best Picture at the 2025 Oscars?
1507 shares @ 1.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 2, 2025$0.00
$-18.00
- YES
Will "Captain America" Opening Weekend Box Office be between $73-82m?
1433 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 17, 2025$0.00
$-10.03
- YES
Will "Dune: Part Two" win Best Picture at the 2025 Oscars?
748 shares @ 1.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 2, 2025$0.00
$-9.10
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill "Captain America" Opening Weekend Box Office be more than $91m?$1.70Feb 17, 00:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Captain America" Opening Weekend Box Office be more than $91m?$0.26Feb 17, 00:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Captain America" Opening Weekend Box Office be more than $91m?$3.03Feb 17, 00:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Captain America" Opening Weekend Box Office be more than $91m?$1.92Feb 17, 00:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Captain America" Opening Weekend Box Office be more than $91m?$3.57Feb 17, 00:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Captain America" Opening Weekend Box Office be more than $91m?$0.30Feb 17, 00:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Captain America" Opening Weekend Box Office be between $73-82m?$10.03Feb 16, 09:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Captain America" Opening Weekend Box Office be more than $91m?$100.94Feb 15, 10:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Nickel Boys" win Best Picture at the 2025 Oscars?$8.20Feb 10, 01:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Dune: Part Two" win Best Picture at the 2025 Oscars?$9.10Feb 10, 01:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "The Substance" win Best Picture at the 2025 Oscars?$18.00Feb 10, 01:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Wicked" win Best Picture at the 2025 Oscars?$20.00Feb 10, 01:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "I'm Still Here" win Best Picture at the 2025 Oscars?$20.00Feb 10, 01:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Conclave" win Best Picture at the 2025 Oscars?$25.00Feb 10, 01:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Emilia Pérez" win Best Picture at the 2025 Oscars?$75.00Feb 9, 13:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "A Complete Unknown" win Best Picture at the 2025 Oscars?$75.00Feb 9, 13:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "The Brutalist" win Best Picture at the 2025 Oscars?$50.00Feb 9, 13:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "A Complete Unknown" win Best Picture at the 2025 Oscars?$25.00Feb 9, 13:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Emilia Pérez" win Best Picture at the 2025 Oscars?$25.00Feb 9, 13:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "The Brutalist" win Best Picture at the 2025 Oscars?$50.00Feb 9, 13:37 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 24
- Avg trade size
- $184.26
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Nov 5, 15:54 UTC
- Last active
- Feb 17, 00:38 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".