Lost-Mutton
0x7816998c14094f0f80f13bf7de88a28ce7aaaf9d
Wallet digest
Activity score
81/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
34
Open notional
$272.10
Total PnL
$-11.5K
Realised
$-1.7K
Win rate
75%
4 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 34- YES
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
730 shares @ 8.2¢·now 14.2¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$103.95
$43.75
- YES
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
282 shares @ 35.0¢·now 25.1¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$71.04
$-27.82
- YES
Will CDU/CSU–SPD German federal coalition break before 2027?
362 shares @ 20.9¢·now 19.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$70.53
$-4.99
- NO
Will Donald Trump visit Germany in 2026?
60 shares @ 21.4¢·now 44.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$26.58
$13.67
- YES
Will the CDU/CSU win 35-40% of the vote in the German election?
64595 shares @ 8.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 23, 2025$0.00
$-5.4K
- YES
FDP wins 5% or more of vote in German election?
4352 shares @ 32.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 23, 2025$0.00
$-1.4K
- YES
Will Bayer Leverkusen win the UEFA Champions League?
3000 shares @ 3.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2025$0.00
$-102.00
- YES
Will Bayern Munich win the UEFA Champions League?
1910 shares @ 11.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2025$0.00
$-210.10
- UP
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on January 28?
907 shares @ 69.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 28, 2026$0.00
$-632.81
- NO
US forces enter Iran by April 30?
780 shares @ 36.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-280.92
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.02Jun 4, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jun 3, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jun 2, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jun 1, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.02May 31, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.02May 30, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.02May 29, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.02May 28, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.02May 27, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.02May 26, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.02May 25, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.02May 24, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.02May 23, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.02May 22, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.02May 21, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.02May 20, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.02May 19, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.02May 18, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.02May 17, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.02May 16, 00:10 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 15
- Avg trade size
- $11.35
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 1, 00:12 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 4, 00:15 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 4 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".