Clean-Enclosure-Stallion
0x782228a99e543052ca5183481a50b04d3b4846c2
Wallet digest
Activity score
67/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
12
Open notional
$45.48
Total PnL
$-160.52
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 12- YES
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 3 to July 10, 2026?
47 shares @ 74.5¢·now 96.8¢·exp Jul 10, 2026$45.48
$10.48
- YES
Will Portugal win on 2026-07-06?
130 shares @ 23.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 6, 2026$0.00
$-30.00
- YES
Will Colombia win on 2026-07-07?
109 shares @ 43.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 7, 2026$0.00
$-47.00
- YES
Will Morocco win on 2026-07-09?
107 shares @ 14.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 9, 2026$0.00
$-15.00
- YES
Will Brazil win on 2026-07-05?
91 shares @ 55.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 5, 2026$0.00
$-50.00
- YES
Will Australia win on 2026-07-03?
19 shares @ 27.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 3, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Bitcoin above 62,800 on July 5, 2AM ET?
16 shares @ 32.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 5, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Ethereum above 1,770 on July 5, 1AM ET?
12 shares @ 42.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 5, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Ethereum above 1,780 on July 5, 12PM ET?
10 shares @ 30.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 5, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
- NO
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from July 4 to July 6, 2026?
9 shares @ 33.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 6, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 3 to July 10, 2026?$35.45Jul 10, 07:45 UTC
- REDEEMWill France win on 2026-07-09?$80.65Jul 10, 07:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Morocco win on 2026-07-09?$15.39Jul 9, 08:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill France win on 2026-07-09?$50.57Jul 9, 08:03 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be between $60,000 and $62,000 on July 8?$9.16Jul 8, 18:26 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from July 6 to July 8, 2026?$77.54Jul 8, 18:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from July 6 to July 8, 2026?$50.89Jul 8, 14:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $60,000 and $62,000 on July 8?$5.16Jul 8, 13:19 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post <40 tweets from July 6 to July 8, 2026?$11.61Jul 8, 06:28 UTC
- REDEEMWill Argentina win on 2026-07-07?$136.99Jul 7, 18:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Colombia win on 2026-07-07?$17.29Jul 7, 14:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post <40 tweets from July 6 to July 8, 2026?$25.55Jul 7, 11:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Argentina win on 2026-07-07?$100.81Jul 7, 07:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Colombia win on 2026-07-07?$30.51Jul 7, 07:03 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from June 30 to July 7, 2026?$19.11Jul 7, 06:42 UTC
- REDEEMWill Spain win on 2026-07-06?$0.00Jul 7, 03:44 UTC
- REDEEMWill Belgium win on 2026-07-06?$0.00Jul 7, 03:44 UTC
- REDEEMWill Spain win on 2026-07-06?$57.69Jul 7, 03:36 UTC
- REDEEMWill Belgium win on 2026-07-06?$85.71Jul 7, 03:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from June 30 to July 7, 2026?$20.36Jul 6, 19:44 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
Wallet activity exists, but copy-risk is too high for interpretation.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 37
- Avg trade size
- $21.91
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 4, 20:28 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 10, 07:45 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.