Thoughtful-Division
0x782a529e806e286be8300cdd8b3e4d5706acbca2
Wallet digest
Activity score
52/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
12
Open notional
$0.53
Total PnL
$-10.7K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 12- YES
Will 12 or more Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
150 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.4¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.53
$-0.82
- UP
Solana Up or Down - January 25, 8AM ET
4971 shares @ 51.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 25, 2026$0.00
$-2.5K
- DOWN
Solana Up or Down - January 11, 4PM ET
3305 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 11, 2026$0.00
$-1.7K
- NIP
Counter-Strike: Liquid vs NIP - Map 2 Winner
3068 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 28, 2026$0.00
$-1.5K
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 21, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET
2013 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 21, 2026$0.00
$-1.0K
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - January 24, 1AM ET
1968 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 24, 2026$0.00
$-984.00
- NO
USD.AI FDV above $650M one day after launch?
1608 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$0.00
$-804.00
- NO
Will the Denver Nuggets win more than 53.5 regular season games in 2025–26?
1542 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 12, 2026$0.00
$-771.00
- YES
Pakistan Super League: Peshawar Zalmi vs Quetta Gladiators - Toss Match Double Quetta Gladiators Winner
1500 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 22, 2026$0.00
$-750.00
- DOWN
Solana Up or Down - January 24, 7AM ET
1400 shares @ 49.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 24, 2026$0.00
$-686.00
Recent activity
- TRADESELLHantavirus pandemic in 2026?$8.44May 8, 18:53 UTC
- TRADESELLHantavirus pandemic in 2026?$5.36May 8, 18:49 UTC
- TRADESELLHantavirus pandemic in 2026?$136.35May 8, 17:52 UTC
- SPLITHantavirus pandemic in 2026?$150.00May 8, 17:31 UTC
- TRADESELLUSD.AI FDV above $650M one day after launch?$1.6KApr 22, 19:38 UTC
- SPLITUSD.AI FDV above $650M one day after launch?$1.6KApr 22, 15:07 UTC
- REDEEMPakistan Super League: Peshawar Zalmi vs Quetta Gladiators - Toss Match Double Quetta Gladiators Winner$1.4KApr 20, 16:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 12 or more Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$1.35Apr 17, 12:56 UTC
- TRADESELLPakistan Super League: Peshawar Zalmi vs Quetta Gladiators - Toss Match Double Quetta Gladiators Winner$81.35Apr 15, 14:50 UTC
- SPLITPakistan Super League: Peshawar Zalmi vs Quetta Gladiators - Toss Match Double Quetta Gladiators Winner$1.5KApr 15, 14:13 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Denver Nuggets win more than 53.5 regular season games in 2025–26?$1.5KApr 13, 02:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Bomb" be said 100+ times during the PGL Bucharest 2026 Grand Final?$1.40Apr 11, 07:07 UTC
- SPLITWill the Denver Nuggets win more than 53.5 regular season games in 2025–26?$1.5KApr 11, 07:04 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Google have the top AI model at the end of March 2026?$5.90Mar 17, 15:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Google have the top AI model at the end of March 2026?$5.91Mar 17, 15:23 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the US next strike Iran on February 27, 2026 (ET)?$5.20Feb 27, 05:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US next strike Iran on February 27, 2026 (ET)?$5.21Feb 27, 05:25 UTC
- TRADESELLWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?$5.64Feb 22, 09:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?$5.70Feb 22, 09:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYCounter-Strike: Liquid vs NIP - Map 2 Winner$1.5KJan 28, 17:32 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 36
- Avg trade size
- $452.60
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 2, 07:13 UTC
- Last active
- May 8, 18:53 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".