Imaginative-Pentagon
0x78341e041c6a98d36cd0ee480d7a44cc6280694d
Wallet digest
Activity score
68/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
7
Open notional
$127.43
Total PnL
$-62.40
Realised
$-23.44
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will the AfD win 20-25% of the vote in the German election?
61 shares @ 56.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 23, 2025$60.79
$26.75
- NO
Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by March 31?
32 shares @ 47.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2025$31.91
$16.91
- NO
Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by March 31?
29 shares @ 68.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2025$29.41
$9.41
- YES
Will Union win the most seats in the next German election?
5 shares @ 94.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 23, 2025$5.32
$0.32
- YES
Will the AfD win 10-15% of the vote in the German election?
500 shares @ 1.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 23, 2025$0.00
$-6.00
- YES
Will the AfD win 25-30% of the vote in the German election?
457 shares @ 17.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 23, 2025$0.00
$-81.35
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by February 28, 2025?
8 shares @ 61.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill the AfD win 15-20% of the vote in the German election?$86.36Feb 5, 08:59 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the AfD win 20-25% of the vote in the German election?$202.52Feb 1, 22:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $110,000 by February 28, 2025?$5.00Feb 1, 08:16 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin reach $120,000 by January 31, 2025?$10.28Feb 1, 08:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the AfD win 25-30% of the vote in the German election?$4.35Jan 31, 17:16 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin reach $250,000 by December 31, 2025?$4.20Jan 31, 17:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the AfD win 25-30% of the vote in the German election?$77.00Jan 31, 17:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the AfD win 20-25% of the vote in the German election?$260.00Jan 31, 17:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the AfD win 15-20% of the vote in the German election?$100.00Jan 31, 17:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the AfD win 10-15% of the vote in the German election?$6.00Jan 31, 17:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $250,000 by December 31, 2025?$4.37Jan 28, 18:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Union win the most seats in the next German election?$5.00Jan 28, 18:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $120,000 by March 31?$15.00Jan 28, 10:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $130,000 by March 31?$20.00Jan 28, 10:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $120,000 by January 31, 2025?$10.00Jan 28, 10:13 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 14
- Avg trade size
- $57.13
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 28, 10:13 UTC
- Last active
- Feb 5, 08:59 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.