Used-Factory
0x783e054603e340a888514587b194f531122a8f0a
Wallet digest
Activity score
45/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
168
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-816.49
Realised
$-1.77
Win rate
36%
11 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 168- DOWN
Solana Up or Down - March 23, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET
693 shares @ 1.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 23, 2026$0.00
$-7.75
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 23, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET
434 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 23, 2026$0.00
$-4.34
- UP
BNB Up or Down - March 23, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET
390 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 24, 2026$0.00
$-3.90
- UP
BNB Up or Down - March 23, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET
390 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 24, 2026$0.00
$-3.90
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - March 23, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET
170 shares @ 29.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 23, 2026$0.00
$-49.25
- UP
XRP Up or Down - March 23, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET
153 shares @ 20.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 23, 2026$0.00
$-31.29
- UP
Dogecoin Up or Down - March 23, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET
72 shares @ 11.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 24, 2026$0.00
$-8.13
- UP
XRP Up or Down on March 24?
59 shares @ 36.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 24, 2026$0.00
$-21.78
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 23, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET
51 shares @ 44.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 23, 2026$0.00
$-22.32
- UP
Hyperliquid Up or Down - March 23, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET
49 shares @ 32.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 24, 2026$0.00
$-15.92
Recent activity
- REDEEMSolana Up or Down on March 24?$2.54Mar 24, 21:59 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down on March 24?$4.93Mar 24, 21:59 UTC
- REDEEMXRP Up or Down - March 24, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET$4.92Mar 24, 17:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - March 24, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET$2.80Mar 24, 17:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - March 24, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET$0.45Mar 24, 17:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - March 24, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET$0.45Mar 24, 17:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 24, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET$0.50Mar 24, 17:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYXRP Up or Down - March 24, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET$2.45Mar 24, 17:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 24, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET$2.90Mar 24, 16:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 24, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET$2.85Mar 24, 16:54 UTC
- REDEEMBNB Up or Down - March 24, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET$8.07Mar 24, 15:13 UTC
- REDEEMSolana Up or Down - March 24, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET$4.93Mar 24, 14:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYBNB Up or Down - March 24, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET$7.36Mar 24, 14:48 UTC
- TRADESELLSolana Up or Down - March 24, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET$4.90Mar 24, 13:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - March 24, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET$2.95Mar 24, 13:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - March 24, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET$2.08Mar 24, 13:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - March 24, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET$0.82Mar 24, 13:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down on March 24?$3.10Mar 24, 13:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - March 24, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET$1.00Mar 24, 13:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 24, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET$1.20Mar 24, 13:40 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
41/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
36% win rate over 11 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
39 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 36/100.
11 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 39
- Avg trade size
- $4.55
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 24, 01:48 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 24, 21:59 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 11 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.