Tender-Briefing
0x7840e79538f3c7e5642a5a145734bff36f6ceed9
Wallet digest
Activity score
57/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
14
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-28.17
Realised
$8.23
Win rate
67%
6 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 14- YES
Will Bangladesh win on 2025-11-13?
12300 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 13, 2025$0.00
$-13.27
- YES
Will Afghanistan win on 2025-11-13?
2000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 13, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will "Return to Silent Hill" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 1m and 1.5m?
428 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 26, 2026$0.00
$-0.86
- YES
Will "Star Search" be the #2 US Netflix show this week? (January 27, 2026)
203 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 27, 2026$0.00
$-1.14
- NO
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez be named in newly released Epstein files by March 31?
50 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will Sean Combs be named in newly released Epstein files by March 31?
47 shares @ 2.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-0.99
- NO
Will Piers Morgan be named in newly released Epstein files by March 31?
41 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-0.82
- YES
Will "Agatha Christie's Seven Dials" be the #2 US Netflix show this week? (January 27, 2026)
35 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 27, 2026$0.00
$-0.24
- NO
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on February 11?
25 shares @ 4.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 11, 2026$0.00
$-1.13
- NUGGETS
Nuggets vs. Nets
14 shares @ 29.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 4, 2026$0.00
$-4.06
Recent activity
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - January 5, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET$0.00Mar 18, 13:51 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - January 4, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET$0.00Mar 18, 13:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?$5.00Mar 2, 13:51 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 13, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET$9.84Feb 19, 14:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 13, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET$5.30Feb 13, 13:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on February 11?$1.13Feb 9, 14:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on February 10?$1.85Feb 9, 12:56 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on February 10?$1.75Feb 9, 12:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on February 10?$1.80Feb 9, 12:55 UTC
- TRADESELLWill "Iron Lung" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 13m and 15m?$1.01Jan 31, 22:26 UTC
- TRADESELLWill "Iron Lung" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 13m and 15m?$0.25Jan 31, 22:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Iron Lung" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 13m and 15m?$0.99Jan 31, 18:47 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Piers Morgan be named in newly released Epstein files by March 31?$0.47Jan 31, 12:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Piers Morgan be named in newly released Epstein files by March 31?$1.00Jan 31, 12:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez be named in newly released Epstein files by March 31?$1.00Jan 31, 12:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Sean Combs be named in newly released Epstein files by March 31?$0.99Jan 31, 12:17 UTC
- TRADESELLAustralian Open Women's: Aryna Sabalenka vs Elena Rybakina$1.25Jan 31, 10:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYAustralian Open Women's: Aryna Sabalenka vs Elena Rybakina$1.60Jan 31, 10:19 UTC
- TRADESELLWill "Agatha Christie's Seven Dials" be the #2 US Netflix show this week? (January 27, 2026)$0.14Jan 27, 16:40 UTC
- TRADESELLWill "Agatha Christie's Seven Dials" be the #2 US Netflix show this week? (January 27, 2026)$3.00Jan 27, 16:29 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 47
- Avg trade size
- $0.84
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 26, 07:37 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 18, 13:51 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 6 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".