Acceptable-Lottery
0x78433052295d3570d1b0168a768a0b9085cc1c7f
Wallet digest
Activity score
49/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
14
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-15.22
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 14- YES
Will "Weapons" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than $29m?
167 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 11, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will "Smurfs" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than $9m?
143 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 28, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will "Predator: Badlands" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 33m?
111 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 10, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Elon tweet less than 90 times July 18–25?
100 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 25, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will "Freakier Friday" Opening Weekend Box Office be more than $39m?
71 shares @ 1.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 16, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Elon tweet 385–399 times August 29–September 5?
56 shares @ 1.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 5, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will "The Conjuring: Last Rites" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than $52m?
40 shares @ 5.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 8, 2025$0.00
$-2.22
- YES
Will The Fantastic Four: First Steps win Best Production Design at the 98th Academy Awards?
22 shares @ 4.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 15, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Kingdom Come: Deliverance II win Game of the Year at the 2025 Game Awards?
20 shares @ 5.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 11, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will "I Know What You Did Last Summer" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than $12m?
14 shares @ 7.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 21, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill "Predator: Badlands" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 33m?$1.00Nov 8, 12:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kingdom Come: Deliverance II win Game of the Year at the 2025 Game Awards?$1.00Nov 2, 10:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill The Fantastic Four: First Steps win Best Production Design at the 98th Academy Awards?$1.00Oct 30, 14:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "The Conjuring: Last Rites" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than $52m?$2.22Sep 3, 23:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon tweet 385–399 times August 29–September 5?$1.00Sep 3, 23:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Freakier Friday" Opening Weekend Box Office be more than $39m?$1.00Aug 7, 16:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Weapons" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than $29m?$1.00Aug 7, 16:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon tweet 240–254 times August 1–August 8?$1.00Aug 5, 01:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?$1.00Jul 19, 22:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "I Know What You Did Last Summer" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than $12m?$1.00Jul 19, 21:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Smurfs" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than $9m?$1.00Jul 19, 21:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon tweet less than 90 times July 18–25?$1.00Jul 19, 21:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump win Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?$1.00Jun 28, 17:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "China" 15+ times during Pittsburgh rally on May 30?$1.00May 28, 18:21 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin reach $110,000 by March 31?$0.00May 28, 18:18 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon tweet 600-624 times Jan 31 - Feb 7?$0.00May 28, 18:18 UTC
- REDEEMWill "Love Hurts" Opening Weekend Box Office be more than $11m?$0.00May 28, 18:18 UTC
- REDEEMWill Toyota run an Ad during Super Bowl LIX?$0.00May 28, 18:18 UTC
- REDEEMWill "Captain America" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than $64m?$0.00May 28, 18:18 UTC
- REDEEMWill "Heart Eyes" Opening Weekend Box Office be more than $12m?$0.00May 28, 18:18 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 27
- Avg trade size
- $1.06
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 20, 04:16 UTC
- Last active
- Nov 8, 12:19 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.