Foolhardy-Placebo
0x7844cfe47019f0147ff073c5fa7482c333bd28c4
Wallet digest
Activity score
40/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-22.9K
Realised
$-4.3K
Win rate
26%
93 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 3, 11PM ET
796 shares @ 30.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 4, 2026$0.00
$-241.01
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 29, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET
707 shares @ 47.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 29, 2026$0.00
$-332.46
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 13, 8PM ET
672 shares @ 47.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 14, 2026$0.00
$-320.49
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 11AM ET
640 shares @ 24.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 26, 2026$0.00
$-157.77
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 21, 9PM ET
521 shares @ 44.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 22, 2026$0.00
$-233.72
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 23, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET
519 shares @ 32.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 23, 2026$0.00
$-166.02
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 24, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET
473 shares @ 53.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 24, 2026$0.00
$-252.76
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 28, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET
470 shares @ 52.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 28, 2026$0.00
$-245.07
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET
460 shares @ 38.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-176.19
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET
435 shares @ 46.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-204.13
Recent activity
- REDEEMXRP Up or Down - August 17, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET$10.00Aug 17, 06:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYXRP Up or Down - August 17, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET$3.80Aug 17, 06:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYXRP Up or Down - August 17, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET$7.00Aug 17, 06:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYXRP Up or Down - August 17, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET$2.70Aug 17, 06:40 UTC
- REDEEMXRP Up or Down - August 17, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET$10.00Aug 17, 05:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYXRP Up or Down - August 17, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET$2.68Aug 17, 05:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYXRP Up or Down - August 17, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET$4.32Aug 17, 05:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYXRP Up or Down - August 17, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET$0.01Aug 17, 05:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYXRP Up or Down - August 17, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET$2.19Aug 17, 05:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYXRP Up or Down - August 17, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET$2.20Aug 17, 05:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYXRP Up or Down - August 17, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET$2.32Aug 17, 05:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYXRP Up or Down - August 17, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET$2.87Aug 17, 05:11 UTC
- REDEEMXRP Up or Down - August 17, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET$10.00Aug 17, 05:01 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - August 17, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET$5.00Aug 17, 05:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYXRP Up or Down - August 17, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET$2.08Aug 17, 04:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYXRP Up or Down - August 17, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET$0.32Aug 17, 04:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYXRP Up or Down - August 17, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET$6.80Aug 17, 04:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYXRP Up or Down - August 17, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET$0.57Aug 17, 04:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - August 17, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET$3.59Aug 17, 04:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - August 17, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET$3.08Aug 17, 04:55 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Attention signal
65/100Resolved history and copy-risk checks are strong enough to use this wallet as market context.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
26% win rate over 93 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
29/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
43 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 24/100.
93 closed markets, 26% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 43
- Avg trade size
- $2.52
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Aug 17, 04:42 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 17, 06:46 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 93 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.