Whole-Xylophone
0x784649fb1f0268aa520f9462ae32113231038aa2
Wallet digest
Activity score
48/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
5
Open notional
$2.30
Total PnL
$-45.70
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will a Democrat win New Mexico Presidential Election?
2 shares @ 87.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$2.30
$0.30
- YES
Will Lamine Yamal win the Ballon d’Or?
250 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 28, 2024$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
89 shares @ 33.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2024$0.00
$-30.00
- YES
Will Barcelona win the UEFA Champions League?
33 shares @ 15.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will a Democrat win the popular vote and the Presidency?
30 shares @ 33.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-10.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill a Democrat win the popular vote and the Presidency? $10.00Oct 28, 16:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Lamine Yamal win the Ballon d’Or?$1.00Oct 28, 16:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Barcelona win the UEFA Champions League?$5.00Oct 28, 16:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill a Democrat win New Mexico Presidential Election?$2.00Oct 28, 16:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$30.00Oct 28, 16:34 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
5 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 73/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 5
- Avg trade size
- $9.60
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Oct 28, 16:34 UTC
- Last active
- Oct 28, 16:44 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.