Critical-Vase
0x784911814f629dbded5f33f32e9238a4bc70c519
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
14
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-47.77
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 14- UP
Solana Up or Down - January 21, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET
151 shares @ 11.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 22, 2026$0.00
$-17.36
- YES
Will Ethereum dip to $2,200 on March 17?
106 shares @ 1.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 18, 2026$0.00
$-1.58
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $86,000 and $88,000 on January 30?
94 shares @ 2.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 30, 2026$0.00
$-2.53
- NO
Will the price of Solana be above $80 on March 27?
91 shares @ 2.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 27, 2026$0.00
$-2.54
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on March 29?
82 shares @ 2.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 29, 2026$0.00
$-1.88
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on March 28?
79 shares @ 1.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 28, 2026$0.00
$-1.50
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be less than $2,900 on January 21?
73 shares @ 5.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 21, 2026$0.00
$-4.10
- NO
Will the price of Solana be above $80 on April 20?
73 shares @ 2.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 20, 2026$0.00
$-1.81
- LOUISIANA-MONROE WARHAWKS
Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks vs. Appalachian State Mountaineers
59 shares @ 6.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 24, 2026$0.00
$-3.54
- NO
Will the price of Solana be between $80 and $90 on April 14?
59 shares @ 2.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 14, 2026$0.00
$-1.47
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill the price of Solana be between $80 and $90 on May 31?$89.99Jun 1, 03:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Solana be between $80 and $90 on May 31?$86.75May 30, 18:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYXRP Up or Down on May 30?$1.61May 30, 03:53 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of XRP be between $1.40 and $1.50 on May 23?$71.07May 23, 18:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be between $1.40 and $1.50 on May 23?$68.65May 22, 18:04 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on May 9?$80.45May 9, 23:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on May 9?$78.68May 8, 18:25 UTC
- REDEEMXRP Up or Down - April 10, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET$90.54Apr 27, 17:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Solana be above $80 on April 20?$1.95Apr 20, 06:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be between $1.40 and $1.50 on April 18?$2.35Apr 18, 02:19 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of XRP be above $2.10 on January 22?$0.00Apr 18, 02:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Solana be between $80 and $90 on April 14?$1.58Apr 14, 01:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYXRP Up or Down - April 10, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET$89.54Apr 10, 23:19 UTC
- REDEEMWill Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase March 24-30?$80.46Apr 10, 23:19 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $94,000 on January 24?$0.00Mar 31, 23:15 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on January 25?$0.00Mar 30, 23:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase March 24-30?$77.32Mar 30, 06:01 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,700 and $2,800 on January 29?$0.00Mar 29, 10:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on March 29?$1.88Mar 28, 17:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on March 28?$1.50Mar 27, 17:26 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
31 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 54/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 31
- Avg trade size
- $47.94
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 27, 03:40 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 1, 03:09 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.