Incredible-Democracy
0x784a2229008953c9cdbf7750280ae52cbaa8c2b3
Wallet digest
Activity score
56/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
60
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-113.95
Realised
$8.72
Win rate
65%
17 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 60- YES
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?
40 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 18, 2026$0.00
$-0.04
- UP
Solana Up or Down - July 29, 5AM ET
40 shares @ 6.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 29, 2025$0.00
$-2.40
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 23, 9AM ET
30 shares @ 20.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 23, 2025$0.00
$-6.03
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 8AM ET
30 shares @ 33.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 9, 2025$0.00
$-10.10
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 3AM ET
20 shares @ 45.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 10, 2025$0.00
$-9.00
- YES
Will Northwestern win the 2025 Big Ten Championship Game?
20 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 8, 2025$0.00
$-0.08
- YES
Will Trump remove his Rob Reiner post?
20 shares @ 3.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-0.72
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 30, 12PM ET
20 shares @ 16.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 30, 2025$0.00
$-3.20
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 19, 9AM ET
20 shares @ 39.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 19, 2026$0.00
$-7.90
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 2AM ET
20 shares @ 22.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 28, 2025$0.00
$-4.40
Recent activity
- TRADESELLXRP Up or Down on June 4?$0.05Jun 4, 14:03 UTC
- TRADESELLDogecoin Up or Down on June 4?$0.20Jun 4, 10:51 UTC
- TRADESELLDogecoin Up or Down on June 4?$0.10Jun 4, 10:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYDogecoin Up or Down on June 4?$0.07Jun 4, 09:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYXRP Up or Down on June 4?$0.23Jun 4, 08:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYDogecoin Up or Down on June 4?$0.17Jun 4, 07:47 UTC
- TRADESELLXRP Up or Down - June 4, 3AM ET$0.15Jun 4, 07:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYXRP Up or Down - June 4, 3AM ET$0.12Jun 4, 07:36 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET$1.09May 15, 10:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET$1.01May 15, 10:41 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET$1.33May 15, 10:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET$0.18May 15, 10:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET$2.06May 15, 10:35 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET$0.23May 12, 09:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET$0.28May 12, 09:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET$1.00May 12, 09:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET$1.23May 12, 09:11 UTC
- TRADESELLBengaluru 2: Petr Bar Biryukov vs Alastair Gray$1.67May 12, 09:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYBengaluru 2: Petr Bar Biryukov vs Alastair Gray$1.20May 12, 09:08 UTC
- REDEEMUFC Fight Night: Carlos Prates vs. Jack Della Maddalena (Welterweight, Main Card)$5.00May 6, 12:20 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 42
- Avg trade size
- $1.54
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 14, 12:45 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 4, 14:03 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 17 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".