Wallet digest

active

Activity score

50/100

Performance: thin sample

Open positions

Open notional

$0.00

Total PnL

$-1.9K

Realised

$-131.43

Win rate

n/a

too few closed

Guardrail: wallet activity is not profitability, and large trades are not smart money. Use the sample, concentration, and copy-risk dimensions before reading this profile as meaningful.

Largest open positions

showing 10 of 11

NO
MicroStrategy announces >1000 BTC purchase December 2-8?
920 shares @ 55.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 9, 2025
$0.00
$-512.39
DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 23, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET
777 shares @ 15.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 23, 2026
$0.00
$-119.40
UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 23, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET
745 shares @ 80.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 23, 2026
$0.00
$-596.15
DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 23, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET
373 shares @ 66.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 23, 2026
$0.00
$-247.12
DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 23, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET
222 shares @ 89.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 23, 2026
$0.00
$-199.58
DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 23, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET
200 shares @ 23.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 23, 2026
$0.00
$-46.00
UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 23, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET
157 shares @ 37.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 23, 2026
$0.00
$-59.17
UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 23, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET
100 shares @ 15.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 23, 2026
$0.00
$-15.00
YES
Will Lando Norris finish second in the 2025 Drivers Championship?
65 shares @ 17.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 7, 2025
$0.00
$-11.05
UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET
24 shares @ 37.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 15, 2026
$0.00
$-9.00

Recent activity

TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET$2.09Jun 15, 09:45 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET$2.10Jun 15, 09:45 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET$5.20Jun 15, 09:45 UTC
REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET$0.00Jun 15, 09:41 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET$2.13Jun 15, 09:39 UTC
REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET$0.00Jun 15, 07:25 UTC
REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET$11.76Jun 15, 07:25 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET$2.12Jun 15, 07:22 UTC
REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET$0.00Jun 11, 14:28 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET$5.34Jun 11, 14:23 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET$5.32Jun 11, 14:23 UTC
REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET$0.00Jun 11, 14:14 UTC
TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET$4.16Jun 11, 14:13 UTC
TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET$3.08Jun 11, 14:13 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET$5.32Jun 11, 14:13 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET$1.76Jun 11, 14:13 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET$5.34Jun 11, 14:08 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET$5.33Jun 11, 14:06 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET$26.59Jun 11, 14:06 UTC
REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET$0.00Jun 11, 14:05 UTC

Persistent ledger timeline

persistent

No trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.

Ledger intelligence

persistent

7d volume

$0.00

0 trades

30d volume

$0.00

0 trades

Buy share

50%

Sample

low

0 ledger trades

No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.

Profile dimensions

Activity70 / 100

Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.

Performance confidence7 / 100

How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.

Specialization0 / 100

Share of trades concentrated in their top category.

Early-entry45 / 100

Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.

Copy-risk55 / 100

How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.

Trades (all time): 40
Avg trade size: $70.52
Top category: —
Category concentration: 0%
First seen: Feb 23, 13:54 UTC
Last active: Jun 15, 09:45 UTC
Win rate sample: 2 closed

The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.

View on Polymarket View on Polygonscan

updated 11:30:21 UTC·src:Polymarket Data