Ancient-Possible
0x7850d08825988039fe9eacd7a2b704755177ae0d
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
4
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-140.91
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Republicans control 222 seats in the House after the election?
3069 shares @ 2.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 17, 2024$0.00
$-84.00
- YES
Democrats win popular vote by 1-2%?
417 shares @ 12.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2025$0.00
$-50.00
- YES
Will the Republican candidate win Pennsylvania by 0.5%-1.0%?
41 shares @ 9.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-3.66
- YES
2024 November hottest on record?
25 shares @ 13.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 30, 2024$0.00
$-3.25
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill there be 150,000,000-155,000,000 votes cast in the U.S. Presidential Election?$470.93Nov 24, 04:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Republicans control 222 seats in the House after the election?$84.00Nov 23, 22:49 UTC
- TRADESELLWill there be 150,000,000-155,000,000 votes cast in the U.S. Presidential Election?$84.00Nov 23, 22:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be 150,000,000-155,000,000 votes cast in the U.S. Presidential Election?$626.64Nov 23, 14:32 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Republicans control 220 seats in the House after the election?$501.72Nov 22, 01:04 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Republicans control 220 seats in the House after the election?$114.00Nov 22, 01:03 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Republicans control 220 seats in the House after the election?$12.54Nov 22, 01:03 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump appoint Steven Cheung for White House Press Secretary?$0.00Nov 18, 19:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Republicans control 220 seats in the House after the election?$3.69Nov 17, 19:27 UTC
- TRADESELLGOP wins popular vote by 1.75-2.0%?$3.70Nov 17, 19:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYGOP wins popular vote by 1.75-2.0%?$123.39Nov 15, 10:15 UTC
- REDEEM2024 Balance of Power: Other$0.00Nov 14, 14:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Republicans control 220 seats in the House after the election?$322.86Nov 13, 11:35 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Republicans control 221 seats in the House after the election?$322.85Nov 13, 11:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Republicans control 221 seats in the House after the election?$9.20Nov 13, 00:14 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Republicans control 223 seats in the House after the election?$9.21Nov 13, 00:12 UTC
- REDEEMWill a Democrat win the popular vote and a Republican win the Presidency?$0.00Nov 12, 10:52 UTC
- TRADEBUY2024 November hottest on record?$3.25Nov 12, 10:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Republicans control 221 seats in the House after the election?$112.47Nov 12, 10:49 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Republicans control 220 seats in the House after the election?$115.71Nov 12, 10:48 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 40
- Avg trade size
- $128.86
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Nov 7, 07:38 UTC
- Last active
- Nov 24, 04:39 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".