0x7861790ef89fd2b6b96c841ec292232823613084
0x7861790ef89fd2b6b96c841ec292232823613084
Wallet digest
Activity score
79/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
14
Open notional
$145.78
Total PnL
$-13.81
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 14- YES
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on May 15?
47 shares @ 17.3¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 15, 2026$46.64
$38.54
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 25°C or below on May 16?
44 shares @ 90.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 16, 2026$43.53
$3.97
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 33°C or higher on May 16?
45 shares @ 77.0¢·now 70.0¢·exp May 16, 2026$31.68
$-3.15
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 27°C on May 16?
24 shares @ 23.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 16, 2026$23.90
$18.40
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 26°C or higher on May 16?
26 shares @ 64.5¢·now 0.1¢·exp May 16, 2026$0.01
$-16.49
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 20°C on May 16?
10 shares @ 27.7¢·now 0.1¢·exp May 16, 2026$0.01
$-2.89
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 23°C or below on May 14?
321 shares @ 2.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 14, 2026$0.00
$-8.10
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 21°C on May 16?
235 shares @ 4.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 16, 2026$0.00
$-11.13
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 26°C on May 15?
182 shares @ 3.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 15, 2026$0.00
$-6.39
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 34°C on May 16?
94 shares @ 9.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 16, 2026$0.00
$-8.70
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Panama City be 33°C or higher on May 16?$35.23May 16, 10:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Milan be 20°C on May 16?$3.00May 16, 03:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Karachi be 34°C on May 16?$9.09May 16, 00:01 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Panama City be 32°C or higher on May 15?$57.26May 15, 21:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Manila be 33°C on May 16?$3.08May 15, 21:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chengdu be 27°C on May 16?$5.71May 15, 21:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 25°C on May 16?$6.94May 15, 21:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Beijing be 25°C or below on May 16?$39.74May 15, 21:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chongqing be 21°C on May 16?$11.66May 15, 21:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 26°C or higher on May 16?$16.79May 15, 20:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Panama City be 32°C or higher on May 15?$53.75May 15, 10:01 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 26°C or higher on May 15?$125.79May 15, 04:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 26°C on May 15?$6.70May 14, 21:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chengdu be 22°C on May 15?$6.06May 14, 21:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on May 15?$8.43May 14, 21:01 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Lucknow be 39°C or below on May 14?$6.00May 14, 21:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 26°C or higher on May 15?$48.33May 14, 20:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 26°C or higher on May 15?$33.01May 14, 20:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Lucknow be 39°C or below on May 14?$5.14May 13, 23:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Wuhan be 23°C or below on May 14?$8.49May 13, 21:12 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 19
- Avg trade size
- $16.04
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 12, 17:07 UTC
- Last active
- May 16, 10:01 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".