0x7861d4c971357bd0d2ed7940a9bc6c21f828e932
0x7861d4c971357bd0d2ed7940a9bc6c21f828e932
Wallet digest
Activity score
48/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
65
Open notional
$56.11
Total PnL
$-171.70
Realised
$-6.58
Win rate
2%
47 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 65- SABA PURTSELADZE
Hamburg: Saba Purtseladze vs Matej Dodig
126 shares @ 11.0¢·now 10.5¢·exp Aug 21, 2026$13.26
$-0.63
- SHINJI HAZAWA
ITF M15 Tianjin 2 Men: Matthew Dellavedova vs Shinji Hazawa
19 shares @ 11.7¢·now 41.0¢·exp Aug 21, 2026$7.90
$5.65
- KAREN KHACHANOV
Cincinnati Open: Aleksandar Kovacevic vs Karen Khachanov
6 shares @ 70.5¢·now 69.5¢·exp Aug 20, 2026$3.94
$-0.06
- MASAMICHI IMAMURA
Astana: Sergey Fomin vs Masamichi Imamura
9 shares @ 44.5¢·now 40.5¢·exp Aug 21, 2026$3.64
$-0.36
- NO
Will the price of Solana be above $80 on August 14?
3 shares @ 95.0¢·now 99.9¢·exp Aug 14, 2026$2.52
$0.12
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on August 14?
2 shares @ 96.9¢·now 99.9¢·exp Aug 14, 2026$2.49
$0.07
- NO
Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,700 and $1,800 on August 14?
3 shares @ 98.0¢·now 99.7¢·exp Aug 14, 2026$2.49
$0.04
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on August 14?
2 shares @ 95.4¢·now 99.4¢·exp Aug 14, 2026$2.48
$0.10
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $60,000 and $62,000 on August 15?
2 shares @ 96.5¢·now 95.2¢·exp Aug 15, 2026$2.38
$-0.03
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on August 15?
3 shares @ 95.2¢·now 94.3¢·exp Aug 15, 2026$2.36
$-0.02
Recent activity
- REDEEMBrownsburg: Bernard Tomic vs Andre Ilagan$12.22Aug 14, 06:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYITF W15 Bucharest 3 Women: Maria Sara Popa vs Angelica Raggi$2.04Aug 14, 06:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYCincinnati Open: Titouan Droguet vs Matteo Berrettini$2.06Aug 14, 06:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYITF M15 Tianjin 2 Men: Matthew Dellavedova vs Shinji Hazawa$1.16Aug 14, 05:39 UTC
- REDEEMCincinnati Open: Caty McNally vs McCartney Kessler$14.11Aug 14, 05:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYAstana: Sergey Fomin vs Masamichi Imamura$2.08Aug 14, 05:28 UTC
- REDEEMCincinnati Open: Zachary Svajda vs Mattia Bellucci$36.99Aug 14, 05:17 UTC
- REDEEMITF M15 Tianjin 2 Men: Fanming Meng vs Yunseong Chung$2.53Aug 14, 05:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $60,000 and $62,000 on August 15?$2.44Aug 14, 05:15 UTC
- REDEEMSolana Up or Down - August 14, 12AM ET$2.50Aug 14, 05:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYITF W15 Tianjin 2 Women: Eva Marie Desvignes vs Shihomi Li Xuan Leong$2.04Aug 14, 05:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYITF M15 Tianjin 2 Men: Matthew Dellavedova vs Shinji Hazawa$1.21Aug 14, 04:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYITF W15 Tianjin 2 Women: Xiran Lan vs Yushan Shao$2.09Aug 14, 04:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYCincinnati Open: Zachary Svajda vs Mattia Bellucci$2.11Aug 14, 04:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYCincinnati Open: Caty McNally vs McCartney Kessler$2.10Aug 14, 04:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - August 14, 12AM ET$2.43Aug 14, 04:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYAstana: Sergey Fomin vs Masamichi Imamura$2.07Aug 14, 04:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYCincinnati Open: Zachary Svajda vs Mattia Bellucci$2.05Aug 14, 04:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYCincinnati Open: Caty McNally vs McCartney Kessler$2.05Aug 14, 04:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on August 15?$2.41Aug 14, 04:15 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
57/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
2% win rate over 47 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
29/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
43 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 30/100.
47 closed markets, 2% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 43
- Avg trade size
- $2.05
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Aug 14, 02:36 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 14, 06:17 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 47 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.