Complex-Presume
0x7864187db55219f18351756b0ea3650655b9112e
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
19
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-0.37
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 19- YES
GOP wins popular vote by 2.0-2.25%?
20 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2025$0.00
$-0.02
- YES
Will Trump get 72-74m votes in the 2024 U.S. Presidential Election?
20 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-0.02
- YES
Will Bernard Cazeneuve be the next French Prime Minister?
20 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2025$0.00
$-0.02
- YES
Will David Lisnard be the next French Prime Minister?
20 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2025$0.00
$-0.02
- YES
Will Kamala Harris get 82-84m votes in the 2024 U.S. Presidential Election?
20 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-0.02
- YES
Will Trump tweet 20 or more times Dec 6-13?
20 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 13, 2024$0.00
$-0.02
- YES
Will Kamala Harris get 68-70m votes in the 2024 U.S. Presidential Election?
20 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-0.02
- YES
Will Guido Manini Ríos win the 2024 Uruguay presidential election?
10 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 27, 2024$0.00
$-0.02
- YES
Will 'Furiosa: A Mad Max Saga' gross most in 2024?
10 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 29, 2024$0.00
$-0.02
- YES
Will 'Joker 2' gross most in 2024?
10 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 29, 2024$0.00
$-0.02
Recent activity
- TRADEBUY100+ Bird Flu cases in U.S. before 2025?$0.02Dec 20, 13:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bernard Cazeneuve be the next French Prime Minister?$0.02Dec 13, 15:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill David Lisnard be the next French Prime Minister?$0.02Dec 13, 15:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kamala Harris get 68-70m votes in the 2024 U.S. Presidential Election?$0.02Dec 13, 15:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kamala Harris get 82-84m votes in the 2024 U.S. Presidential Election?$0.02Dec 13, 15:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Drake Maye win NFL Offensive Rookie of the Year?$0.02Dec 13, 15:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Xavier Worthy win NFL Offensive Rookie of the Year?$0.02Dec 13, 15:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYGOP wins popular vote by 2.0-2.25%?$0.02Dec 13, 14:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump get 72-74m votes in the 2024 U.S. Presidential Election?$0.02Dec 13, 14:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 75+ bps after December 2024 meeting?$0.02Dec 13, 14:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump tweet 20 or more times Dec 6-13?$0.02Dec 13, 14:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Christian Braun win 2024-25 NBA Most Improved?$0.02Dec 6, 09:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Holly Cairns be the next Prime Minister of Ireland?$0.01Dec 6, 09:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum hit $4,500.00 in December?$0.02Dec 6, 09:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump remove Jerome Powell in first 100 days?$0.02Dec 6, 09:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Hamas ceasefire in 2024?$0.02Dec 6, 09:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Iran peace deal in 2024?$0.02Dec 6, 09:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYMichel Barnier out as prime minister of France in 2024?$0.02Dec 6, 09:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYSouth Korean President impeached in 2024?$0.02Dec 6, 09:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Frank LaRose be appointed as the next Ohio senator?$0.02Dec 6, 09:15 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $12.10
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Nov 11, 07:42 UTC
- Last active
- Dec 20, 13:38 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".