High-Bother
0x7864219c480fcf8cf25058b8e5e0fde71becd437
Wallet digest
Activity score
58/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
32
Open notional
$5.88
Total PnL
$-323.34
Realised
$8.59
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 32- YES
9.0 or above earthquake before 2027?
80 shares @ 9.0¢·now 7.3¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$5.88
$-1.32
- YES
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after September 2025 meeting?
10000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 17, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?
2857 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 10, 2025$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Will Monad perform an airdrop by October 31?
1628 shares @ 3.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 1, 2025$0.00
$-50.28
- NO
Will Kimmel say "Kirk" during return show on September 23?
1100 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 23, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- NO
Will Kimmel say "Free Speech" during return show on September 23?
1100 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 23, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
No change in Fed interest rates after September 2025 meeting?
526 shares @ 1.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 17, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair in 2025?
518 shares @ 3.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-19.86
- NEBRASKA CORNHUSKERS
Nebraska Cornhuskers vs. Penn State
333 shares @ 6.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 23, 2025$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Will Andrew Cuomo win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
227 shares @ 8.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2025$0.00
$-20.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Muhammad Mirbaqiri be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?$4.53Mar 7, 19:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Alireza Arafi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?$9.90Mar 7, 19:08 UTC
- TRADEBUY9.0 or above earthquake before 2027?$5.00Dec 9, 17:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase December 9-15?$2.80Dec 9, 17:49 UTC
- TRADEBUY9.0 or above earthquake before 2027?$2.20Dec 9, 17:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $105,000 by December 31, 2025?$2.00Dec 9, 17:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $110,000 by December 31, 2025?$2.00Dec 9, 17:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $115,000 by December 31, 2025?$2.00Dec 9, 17:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2025?$2.00Dec 9, 17:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2025?$2.00Dec 9, 17:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?$20.00Dec 9, 07:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYOregon vs. Washington$5.00Nov 29, 22:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYCincinnati vs. TCU$5.00Nov 29, 22:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYJerome Powell out as Fed Chair in 2025?$5.00Nov 29, 22:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYNebraska Cornhuskers vs. Penn State$20.00Nov 23, 01:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Andrew Cuomo win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?$20.00Nov 3, 22:28 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump and Xi shake hands for 10 seconds or more on October 30, 2025?$80.00Nov 1, 22:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump and Xi shake hands for 10 seconds or more on October 30, 2025?$20.00Oct 28, 17:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYJerome Powell out as Fed Chair in 2025?$14.86Oct 28, 11:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Government shutdown end October 23-26?$10.00Oct 20, 12:57 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 47
- Avg trade size
- $9.80
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 22, 19:22 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 7, 19:09 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".