Incomparable-Statistics
0x78687c9853a344e1bb3966d328a33970ad47ff19
Wallet digest
Activity score
29/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
140
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-682.03
Realised
$-14.34
Win rate
0%
139 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 140- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 2, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET
500 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 2, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 3, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET
500 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 3, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 3, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET
500 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 4, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 11, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET
69 shares @ 6.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 11, 2026$0.00
$-4.77
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 30, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET
46 shares @ 11.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-5.06
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 4, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET
31 shares @ 16.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 4, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 4, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET
23 shares @ 22.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 4, 2026$0.00
$-5.16
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 10, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET
20 shares @ 25.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 10, 2026$0.00
$-5.25
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 31, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET
20 shares @ 24.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 1, 2026$0.00
$-4.77
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 3, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET
19 shares @ 26.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 4, 2026$0.00
$-4.94
Recent activity
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - August 12, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET$5.00Aug 13, 03:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 12, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET$4.63Aug 13, 02:58 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - August 12, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET$6.00Aug 13, 02:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 12, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET$5.38Aug 13, 02:44 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - August 12, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET$5.00Aug 13, 01:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 12, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET$4.81Aug 13, 01:49 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - August 12, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET$5.00Aug 12, 22:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 12, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET$4.81Aug 12, 22:13 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - August 12, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET$5.00Aug 12, 21:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 12, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET$4.67Aug 12, 21:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 12, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET$4.77Aug 12, 13:34 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - August 12, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET$5.00Aug 12, 13:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 12, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET$4.81Aug 12, 13:03 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - August 12, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET$5.00Aug 12, 04:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 12, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET$4.81Aug 12, 04:28 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - August 11, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET$6.00Aug 12, 02:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 11, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET$5.10Aug 12, 01:59 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - August 11, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET$5.05Aug 11, 19:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 11, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET$4.82Aug 11, 19:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 11, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET$4.77Aug 11, 19:14 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
59/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 139 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
29/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
26 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 26/100.
139 closed markets, 0% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 26
- Avg trade size
- $4.91
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Aug 10, 09:11 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 13, 03:01 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 139 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.