First-Lacquerware
0x786e066eced9cca2d4b548563c755d18a8eb4429
Wallet digest
Activity score
57/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
6
Open notional
$5.52
Total PnL
$-31.45
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 6, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET
3 shares @ 58.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 6, 2026$3.40
$1.43
- UP
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on February 6?
2 shares @ 94.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 6, 2026$2.13
$0.13
- YES
Will Gemini 3.0 be released by November 15?
40 shares @ 43.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2025$0.00
$-17.00
- YES
Will Oscar Piastri be the 2025 Drivers Champion?
13 shares @ 63.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 7, 2025$0.00
$-8.00
- YES
Will Ghislaine Maxwell testify before Congress in 2025?
9 shares @ 46.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-4.00
- YES
Will Samuel Doria Medina win the 2025 Bolivia presidential election?
7 shares @ 56.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 19, 2025$0.00
$-4.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYS&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on February 6?$2.00Feb 6, 12:49 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ousmane Dembele win the 2025 Ballon d'Or?$7.59Feb 6, 12:46 UTC
- REDEEMWill Russia capture Pokrovsk by October 31?$8.62Feb 6, 12:46 UTC
- REDEEMNo change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?$458.21Feb 6, 12:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 6, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET$2.00Feb 6, 12:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYNo change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?$455.00Jan 25, 11:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gemini 3.0 be released by November 15?$17.00Oct 29, 08:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Samuel Doria Medina win the 2025 Bolivia presidential election?$4.00Aug 6, 15:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture Pokrovsk by October 31?$5.00Jul 24, 12:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ghislaine Maxwell testify before Congress in 2025?$4.00Jul 24, 12:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ousmane Dembele win the 2025 Ballon d'Or?$5.00Jun 26, 14:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Oscar Piastri be the 2025 Drivers Champion?$8.00Jun 26, 14:20 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump deport 250,000-500,000 people?$9.00Jun 26, 14:19 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Boston Celtics win the 2025 NBA Finals?$131.08Jun 26, 14:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump deport 250,000-500,000 people?$9.00May 11, 13:51 UTC
- REDEEMNo change in Fed interest rates after May 2025 meeting?$207.32May 11, 13:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYNo change in Fed interest rates after May 2025 meeting?$170.00Mar 31, 10:46 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Germany win Eurovision 2025?$299.69Mar 31, 10:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Germany win Eurovision 2025?$300.00Mar 31, 10:41 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Marek Jakubiak be the next President of Poland?$219.78Mar 31, 10:40 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 26
- Avg trade size
- $124.57
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Oct 23, 07:48 UTC
- Last active
- Feb 6, 12:49 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.