Dark-Mixture-Incision
0x787020d251d784345f67bf0986e6db9fe3e988ea
Wallet digest
Activity score
24/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
3
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-7.72
Realised
$-0.14
Win rate
0%
3 closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 64-65°F on May 19?
291 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 19, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will São Paulo FC win on 2026-05-19?
9 shares @ 59.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 20, 2026$0.00
$-5.58
- YES
Will West Ham United FC win on 2026-05-17?
3 shares @ 32.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 17, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill São Paulo FC win on 2026-05-19?$5.65May 19, 22:58 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Tokyo be 27°C or higher on May 19?$0.96May 18, 01:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Tokyo be 27°C or higher on May 19?$1.01May 17, 13:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill West Ham United FC win on 2026-05-17?$1.02May 17, 13:19 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in San Francisco be 66°F or higher on May 19?$0.99May 17, 13:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 64-65°F on May 19?$1.05May 17, 12:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in San Francisco be 66°F or higher on May 19?$1.00May 17, 12:21 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
28/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 3 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
7 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 43/100.
3 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 7
- Avg trade size
- $1.67
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 17, 12:21 UTC
- Last active
- May 19, 22:58 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.