Emotional-Collaboration
0x7874cf1a0ab3ba349a2d40b71f067935fa4ef8e6
Wallet digest
Activity score
22/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
116
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-235.52
Realised
$-25.84
Win rate
4%
55 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 116- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $77,000 on March 6?
945 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 7, 2026$0.00
$-0.94
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 22, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET
25 shares @ 38.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 22, 2026$0.00
$-9.59
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on March 8?
24 shares @ 2.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 8, 2026$0.00
$-0.50
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $64,000 and $66,000 on March 8?
20 shares @ 7.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 8, 2026$0.00
$-1.52
- UP
XRP Up or Down - February 24, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET
20 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 25, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on March 9?
15 shares @ 1.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 9, 2026$0.00
$-0.28
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on March 10?
15 shares @ 5.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 10, 2026$0.00
$-0.77
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 27, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET
15 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 27, 2026$0.00
$-0.15
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 27, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET
15 shares @ 1.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 27, 2026$0.00
$-0.20
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 25, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET
10 shares @ 99.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 26, 2026$0.00
$-9.90
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on March 22?$5.00Mar 31, 16:36 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on March 22?$5.00Mar 31, 16:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $68,000 and $70,000 on March 22?$1.06Mar 22, 10:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on March 22?$4.17Mar 22, 10:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on March 22?$4.70Mar 22, 10:13 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be between $68,000 and $70,000 on March 10?$5.00Mar 17, 09:11 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be between $66,000 and $68,000 on March 10?$5.00Mar 17, 09:11 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be between $70,000 and $72,000 on March 10?$5.00Mar 17, 09:11 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be between $72,000 and $74,000 on March 10?$10.00Mar 17, 09:11 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be between $70,000 and $72,000 on March 10?$0.00Mar 11, 08:13 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be between $66,000 and $68,000 on March 10?$0.00Mar 11, 08:13 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be between $72,000 and $74,000 on March 10?$0.00Mar 11, 08:13 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be between $68,000 and $70,000 on March 10?$0.00Mar 11, 08:13 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be between $70,000 and $72,000 on March 10?$0.00Mar 10, 20:44 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be between $66,000 and $68,000 on March 10?$0.00Mar 10, 20:44 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be between $72,000 and $74,000 on March 10?$0.00Mar 10, 20:44 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be between $68,000 and $70,000 on March 10?$0.00Mar 10, 20:44 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be between $70,000 and $72,000 on March 10?$0.00Mar 10, 20:34 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be between $66,000 and $68,000 on March 10?$0.00Mar 10, 20:34 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be between $72,000 and $74,000 on March 10?$0.00Mar 10, 20:34 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
59/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
4% win rate over 55 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
29/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
3 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 25/100.
55 closed markets, 4% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 3
- Avg trade size
- $3.31
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 10, 19:24 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 31, 16:36 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 55 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.