Unusual-Broccoli
0x7876e52fa16ff010a730db175a0f72aa8956c421
Wallet digest
Activity score
67/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
31
Open notional
$48.88
Total PnL
$-2.5K
Realised
$-0.03
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 31- YES
Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?
25 shares @ 81.2¢·now 92.7¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$22.82
$2.82
- NO
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
17 shares @ 82.0¢·now 89.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$15.28
$1.28
- NO
Florentino Perez out as Real Madrid president by December 31, 2026?
11 shares @ 89.0¢·now 95.9¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$10.78
$0.78
- DOWN
XRP Up or Down - February 4, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET
1331 shares @ 99.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 4, 2026$0.00
$-1.3K
- NO
Will Ethereum reach $2,000 on March 28?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 29, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will Aarhus GF win on 2026-02-06?
476 shares @ 90.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 6, 2026$0.00
$-430.00
- NO
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-02-07?
374 shares @ 37.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 7, 2026$0.00
$-140.00
- YES
Will S&P Global (SPGI) beat quarterly earnings?
351 shares @ 92.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 10, 2026$0.00
$-324.41
- NO
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
133 shares @ 81.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 15, 2026$0.00
$-109.18
- NO
Will FC Metz vs. Lille OSC end in a draw?
100 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 6, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$0.15Jun 15, 05:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYFlorentino Perez out as Real Madrid president by December 31, 2026?$10.03Jun 4, 16:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?$20.15Jun 3, 08:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$50.00Jun 3, 08:39 UTC
- REDEEMIran closes its airspace by May 31?$65.79Jun 1, 12:42 UTC
- REDEEMUS obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?$13.04Jun 1, 06:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$60.00May 30, 08:26 UTC
- REDEEMRoland Garros ATP: Alex Michelsen vs Rafael Jodar$3.66May 29, 17:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYRoland Garros ATP: Alex Michelsen vs Rafael Jodar$3.02May 29, 09:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYRoland Garros ATP: Joao Fonseca vs Novak Djokovic$4.04May 29, 09:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYRoland Garros ATP: Karen Khachanov vs Jesper de Jong$4.03May 29, 09:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYRoland Garros ATP: Thiago Agustin Tirante vs Pablo Carreno Busta$4.04May 29, 09:57 UTC
- TRADESELLRoland Garros ATP: Matteo Berrettini vs Francisco Comesana$1.91May 29, 05:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYRoland Garros ATP: Matteo Berrettini vs Francisco Comesana$2.04May 29, 04:56 UTC
- REDEEMRoland Garros ATP: Raphael Collignon vs Ben Shelton$13.89May 28, 21:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYRoland Garros ATP: Raphael Collignon vs Ben Shelton$5.10May 28, 14:16 UTC
- REDEEMRoland Garros, Qualification ATP: Vilius Gaubas vs Pablo Llamas Ruiz$5.48May 27, 21:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYRoland Garros ATP: Yibing Wu vs Marcos Giron$2.04May 25, 16:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYIstanbul: Hynek Barton vs David Jorda Sanchis$4.03May 22, 09:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYRoland Garros, Qualification ATP: Darwin Blanch vs Luka Pavlovic$4.04May 22, 09:05 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 2 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
42 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 61/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 42
- Avg trade size
- $12.23
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 28, 12:06 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 15, 05:49 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.