Unkempt-Membrane
0x7882f78ba5461c82ea0b40a712fac8c4777e31fa
Wallet digest
Activity score
63/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
40
Open notional
$21.11
Total PnL
$-30.9K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 40- NO
Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2025?
2 shares @ 99.3¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$2.01
$0.01
- NO
Will the New York Islanders win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?
1 shares @ 98.6¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.01
$0.01
- NO
Will Trump pardon Himself in 2025?
1 shares @ 98.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$1.01
$0.01
- NO
Will Alibaba have the top AI model on December 31?
1 shares @ 98.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$1.01
$0.01
- NO
GHO depeg by December 31?
1 shares @ 99.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2026$1.01
$0.01
- NO
Cerebras IPO in 2025?
1 shares @ 99.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$1.01
$0.01
- NO
Will Lilo & Stitch be the top grossing movie of 2025?
1 shares @ 99.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$1.01
$0.01
- NO
Will inflation reach more than 10% in 2025?
1 shares @ 99.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$1.01
$0.01
- NO
Will there be exactly 5 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by December 31?
1 shares @ 99.2¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$1.01
$0.01
- NO
Will xAI have the best AI model for coding at the end of 2025?
1 shares @ 99.2¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$1.01
$0.01
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Dante Moore be the second pick in the 2026 NFL draft?$1.00Jan 15, 06:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Lance Stroll be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?$1.00Jan 4, 09:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gainzy appear on the UpOnly podcast by December 31?$1.00Dec 26, 07:32 UTC
- REDEEMWill Kelly Brook win series 25 of "I'm a Celebrity... Get Me Out of Here!"?$1.00Dec 26, 07:31 UTC
- REDEEMWill Jara win by at least 5%?$1.01Dec 26, 07:31 UTC
- REDEEMWill Donkey Kong Bananza win Game of the Year at the 2025 Game Awards?$1.01Dec 26, 07:31 UTC
- REDEEMFed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after December 2025 meeting?$2.01Dec 26, 07:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYGHO depeg by December 31?$1.00Dec 12, 02:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Foo Fighters perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show?$1.00Dec 11, 08:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYCerebras IPO in 2025?$1.00Dec 10, 07:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump meet with Yoon Suk Yeol in 2025?$1.00Dec 9, 08:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Chainlink dip to $4 in December?$1.00Dec 8, 06:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?$1.00Dec 6, 06:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Zach Edey win the 2025–2026 NBA Defensive Player of the Year?$1.00Dec 5, 08:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kelly Brook win series 25 of "I'm a Celebrity... Get Me Out of Here!"?$1.00Dec 4, 03:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill inflation reach more than 10% in 2025?$1.00Dec 3, 02:45 UTC
- REDEEMWill the next US x Venezuela military engagement occur on December 1?$1.01Dec 3, 02:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jara win by at least 5%?$1.00Dec 2, 05:09 UTC
- REDEEMOver $30M committed to the Makina public sale?$1.00Dec 2, 05:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be exactly 5 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by December 31?$1.00Dec 1, 02:25 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 32
- Avg trade size
- $1.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Oct 27, 08:34 UTC
- Last active
- Jan 15, 06:45 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".