Wallet digest

active

Activity score

46/100

Performance: thin sample

Open positions

Open notional

$0.00

Total PnL

$-11.9K

Realised

$0.00

Win rate

n/a

too few closed

Guardrail: wallet activity is not profitability, and large trades are not smart money. Use the sample, concentration, and copy-risk dimensions before reading this profile as meaningful.

Largest open positions

showing 10 of 14

UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 15, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET
1996 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 16, 2025
$0.00
$-998.00
DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 15, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET
1980 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 16, 2025
$0.00
$-990.00
UP
Ethereum Up or Down - December 15, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET
1972 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 16, 2025
$0.00
$-986.00
DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - December 15, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET
1962 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 16, 2025
$0.00
$-981.00
UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 16, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET
1961 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 16, 2025
$0.00
$-980.50
UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 15, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET
1960 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 16, 2025
$0.00
$-980.00
UP
Ethereum Up or Down - December 15, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET
1960 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 16, 2025
$0.00
$-980.00
UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 15, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET
1959 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 16, 2025
$0.00
$-979.50
UP
Ethereum Up or Down - December 15, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET
1952 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 16, 2025
$0.00
$-976.00
DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 16, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET
1950 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 16, 2025
$0.00
$-975.00

Recent activity

REDEEMUS bank failure by December 31?$2.04Jan 4, 02:43 UTC
REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - January 3, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET$2.3KJan 4, 02:43 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 3, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET$24.00Jan 4, 01:41 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 3, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET$1.00Jan 4, 01:39 UTC
TRADESELLEthereum Up or Down - January 3, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET$20.98Jan 4, 01:36 UTC
TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - January 3, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET$20.98Jan 4, 01:33 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 3, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET$1.1KJan 4, 01:33 UTC
REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - December 16, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET$1.9KDec 16, 07:03 UTC
REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - December 15, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET$0.00Dec 16, 07:03 UTC
REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - December 15, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET$0.00Dec 16, 07:03 UTC
REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - December 15, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET$0.00Dec 16, 07:03 UTC
REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - December 15, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET$0.00Dec 16, 07:03 UTC
REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - December 15, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET$0.00Dec 16, 07:03 UTC
REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - December 16, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET$0.00Dec 16, 07:03 UTC
REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - December 15, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET$0.00Dec 16, 07:03 UTC
REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - December 15, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET$0.00Dec 16, 06:32 UTC
REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - December 15, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET$0.00Dec 16, 06:32 UTC
REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - December 15, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET$0.00Dec 16, 06:32 UTC
REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - December 15, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET$0.00Dec 16, 06:32 UTC
REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - December 15, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET$0.00Dec 16, 06:32 UTC

Persistent ledger timeline

persistent

No trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.

Ledger intelligence

persistent

7d volume

$0.00

0 trades

30d volume

$0.00

0 trades

Buy share

50%

Sample

low

0 ledger trades

No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.

Profile dimensions

Activity27 / 100

Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.

Performance confidence0 / 100

How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.

Specialization0 / 100

Share of trades concentrated in their top category.

Early-entry100 / 100

Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.

Copy-risk61 / 100

How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.

Trades (all time): 11
Avg trade size: $464.91
Top category: —
Category concentration: 0%
First seen: Dec 16, 05:04 UTC
Last active: Jan 4, 02:43 UTC
Win rate sample: 0 closed

The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".

View on Polymarket View on Polygonscan

updated 14:12:34 UTC·src:Polymarket Data