Wallet digest

active

Activity score

53/100

Performance measurable

Open positions

Open notional

$0.00

Total PnL

$-154.20

Realised

$-34.20

Win rate

57%

21 closed

Guardrail: wallet activity is not profitability, and large trades are not smart money. Use the sample, concentration, and copy-risk dimensions before reading this profile as meaningful.

Largest open positions

showing 10 of 29

ROCKETS
Rockets vs. Bucks
110 shares @ 23.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 26, 2024
$0.00
$-25.85
YES
Will 100-149 Republicans vote in favor of government funding bill?
49 shares @ 23.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2025
$0.00
$-11.25
YES
Will 25-49 Republicans vote in favor of government funding bill?
40 shares @ 3.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2025
$0.00
$-1.28
NO
Will 150-174 Republicans vote in favor of government funding bill?
40 shares @ 5.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2025
$0.00
$-2.00
YES
Will Trump say "Kamala" during his Mar-a-Lago press conference?
40 shares @ 10.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 7, 2025
$0.00
$-4.00
YES
Will 175-199 Republicans vote in favor of government funding bill?
40 shares @ 22.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2025
$0.00
$-8.80
YES
Will 200-209 Republicans vote in favor of government funding bill?
40 shares @ 6.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2025
$0.00
$-2.70
YES
Will 210 or more Republicans vote in favor of government funding bill?
40 shares @ 9.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2025
$0.00
$-3.60
YES
Will Trump's inaugural address be 16-18 minutes?
36 shares @ 20.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 20, 2025
$0.00
$-7.40
YES
Will the next US Speaker be elected in four ballots?
32 shares @ 9.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 3, 2025
$0.00
$-2.94

Recent activity

TRADESELLWill 2 QBs get taken in the first 3 picks of the 2025 NFL Draft?$0.91Feb 19, 08:15 UTC
TRADESELLWill the first pick of the 2025 NFL Draft get traded?$7.40Feb 18, 10:15 UTC
TRADESELLWill zero QBs get taken in the first 3 picks of the 2025 NFL Draft?$1.40Feb 17, 21:07 UTC
TRADESELLWho will get drafted first: Shedeur Sanders or Cam Ward?$4.95Feb 17, 16:17 UTC
TRADESELLAI wins IMO gold medal in 2025?$7.00Feb 15, 22:43 UTC
TRADESELLWill 1 QB get taken in the first 3 picks of the 2025 NFL Draft?$1.20Feb 15, 22:41 UTC
TRADESELLWill 1 QB get taken in the first 3 picks of the 2025 NFL Draft?$10.80Feb 15, 22:21 UTC
TRADESELLWill MicroStrategy hold 500k+ BTC before March?$0.18Feb 15, 15:58 UTC
TRADESELLWill MicroStrategy hold 500k+ BTC before March?$0.26Feb 15, 15:58 UTC
TRADESELLWill MicroStrategy hold 500k+ BTC before March?$0.26Feb 15, 15:58 UTC
TRADESELLWill MicroStrategy hold 500k+ BTC before March?$0.26Feb 15, 15:58 UTC
TRADESELLWill MicroStrategy hold 500k+ BTC before March?$0.26Feb 15, 15:57 UTC
TRADESELLWill MicroStrategy hold 500k+ BTC before March?$0.26Feb 15, 15:56 UTC
TRADESELLWill MicroStrategy hold 500k+ BTC before March?$0.26Feb 15, 15:56 UTC
TRADESELLWill MicroStrategy hold 500k+ BTC before March?$0.26Feb 15, 15:54 UTC
TRADESELLWill MicroStrategy hold 500k+ BTC before March?$0.26Feb 15, 15:53 UTC
TRADESELLWill MicroStrategy hold 500k+ BTC before March?$0.26Feb 15, 15:53 UTC
TRADESELLWill MicroStrategy hold 500k+ BTC before March?$0.26Feb 15, 15:52 UTC
TRADESELLWill MicroStrategy hold 500k+ BTC before March?$0.26Feb 15, 15:52 UTC
TRADESELLWill MicroStrategy hold 500k+ BTC before March?$0.26Feb 15, 15:52 UTC

Persistent ledger timeline

persistent

No trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.

Ledger intelligence

persistent

7d volume

$0.00

0 trades

30d volume

$0.00

0 trades

Buy share

50%

Sample

low

0 ledger trades

No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.

Profile dimensions

Activity43 / 100

Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.

Performance confidence70 / 100

How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.

Specialization0 / 100

Share of trades concentrated in their top category.

Early-entry10 / 100

Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.

Copy-risk36 / 100

How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.

Trades (all time): 50
Avg trade size: $4.63
Top category: —
Category concentration: 0%
First seen: Feb 10, 13:56 UTC
Last active: Feb 19, 08:15 UTC
Win rate sample: 21 closed

The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".

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updated 19:00:58 UTC·src:Polymarket Data