Merry-Pompom
0x789e25d697f1be574ea47ff96033784d0ce50044
Wallet digest
Activity score
32/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
54
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-146.42
Realised
$-1.91
Win rate
6%
53 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 54- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET
200 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 28, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET
144 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 28, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 8, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET
67 shares @ 3.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 9, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET
67 shares @ 3.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 22, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 30, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET
40 shares @ 5.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 30, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET
33 shares @ 6.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET
30 shares @ 3.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 27, 2026$0.00
$-0.90
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 30, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET
30 shares @ 43.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-13.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET
29 shares @ 7.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 27, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET
29 shares @ 7.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 28, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET$2.14Jul 22, 16:44 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 19, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET$0.00Jul 22, 16:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 19, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET$2.03Jul 19, 22:21 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 19, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET$2.22Jul 19, 22:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 19, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET$2.02Jul 19, 22:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 19, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET$2.07Jul 19, 22:08 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 19, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET$10.35Jul 19, 22:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 19, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET$2.12Jul 19, 22:07 UTC
- TRADESELLSpain vs. Argentina: Team to Advance$4.00Jul 19, 22:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpain vs. Argentina: Team to Advance$3.04Jul 19, 21:14 UTC
- TRADESELLSpain vs. Argentina: Team to Advance$2.43Jul 19, 21:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpain vs. Argentina: Team to Advance$4.12Jul 19, 18:35 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 15, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET$2.32Jul 15, 20:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 15, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET$2.04Jul 15, 20:10 UTC
- TRADESELLWill England vs. Argentina end in a draw?$2.43Jul 15, 20:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill England vs. Argentina end in a draw?$2.07Jul 15, 19:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill France vs. Spain end in a draw?$5.18Jul 14, 20:14 UTC
- REDEEMWill Norway vs. England end in a draw?$3.85Jul 12, 04:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 10, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET$2.07Jul 11, 03:26 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 10, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET$2.33Jul 11, 03:23 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
58/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
6% win rate over 53 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
29/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
47 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 25/100.
53 closed markets, 6% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 47
- Avg trade size
- $3.09
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 9, 03:30 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 22, 16:44 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 53 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.