Modest-Harm
0x78a53cb2aba8058fb7179e82160a8500fd50e748
Wallet digest
Activity score
45/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
7
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-12.67
Realised
$-1.67
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Trump out as President by March 31?
667 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-4.00
- NO
Will Melania say "Empower" or "Empowering" during Fostering the Future Together event on March 24?
604 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 24, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- NO
Will Melania say "Future" during Fostering the Future Together event on March 24?
500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 24, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will US or Israel strike Iran on March 4, 2026?
125 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 10, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will US or Israel strike Iran on March 5, 2026?
59 shares @ 1.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 10, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?
25 shares @ 4.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Melania say "Future" during Fostering the Future Together event on March 24?$1.00Mar 24, 14:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Melania say "Empower" or "Empowering" during Fostering the Future Together event on March 24?$2.00Mar 24, 14:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump out as President by March 31?$4.00Mar 24, 14:34 UTC
- TRADESELLTrump out as President by March 31?$4.33Mar 24, 14:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump out as President by March 31?$5.00Mar 24, 14:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?$1.00Mar 3, 11:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?$1.00Mar 3, 11:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump out as President by March 31?$1.00Mar 3, 11:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill US or Israel strike Iran on March 5, 2026?$1.00Mar 3, 11:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill US or Israel strike Iran on March 4, 2026?$1.00Mar 3, 11:48 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 10
- Avg trade size
- $2.13
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 3, 11:48 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 24, 14:37 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".