Frosty-Organization
0x78ae315d71ff08281117b15ee6da6f1364fb7412
Wallet digest
Activity score
75/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
32
Open notional
$480.04
Total PnL
$-48.77
Realised
$-23.17
Win rate
29%
7 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 32- YES
Will Aldo Rebelo win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
20000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.1¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$30.00
$10.00
- YES
Will Marine Tondelier win the 2027 French presidential election?
3333 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.7¢·exp Apr 30, 2027$21.66
$1.67
- YES
Will Clémentine Autain win the 2027 French presidential election?
3333 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.7¢·exp Apr 30, 2027$21.66
$1.67
- YES
Will Valérie Pécresse win the 2027 French presidential election?
3333 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.7¢·exp Apr 30, 2027$21.66
$1.67
- YES
Will Manuel Bompard win the 2027 French presidential election?
3333 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.7¢·exp Apr 30, 2027$21.66
$1.67
- YES
Will Elise Stefanik win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
2857 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.8¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$21.43
$1.43
- YES
Will Barack Obama win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
2857 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.8¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$21.43
$1.43
- YES
Will Brian Kemp win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
2500 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.9¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$21.25
$1.25
- YES
Will Nikki Haley win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
2500 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.9¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$21.25
$1.25
- YES
Will Tom Brady win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
2500 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.9¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$21.25
$1.25
Recent activity
- MAKER_REBATE$2.29Jun 14, 00:45 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?$4.93Jun 14, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jun 14, 00:12 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?$0.07Jun 14, 00:05 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?$40.00Jun 13, 22:44 UTC
- TRADESELLWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?$16.66Jun 13, 17:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?$20.00Jun 13, 17:12 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?$0.02Jun 13, 16:31 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Jalen Brunson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$0.00Jun 13, 15:27 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Xavier Bertrand win the 2027 French presidential election?$0.00Jun 13, 15:27 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Julian Assange win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?$0.00Jun 13, 15:27 UTC
- TRADESELLWill John Thune win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?$0.00Jun 13, 15:27 UTC
- TRADESELLWill 6 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$0.00Jun 13, 15:27 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Geraldo Alckmin win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$0.00Jun 13, 15:27 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Khaled Mashal win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?$0.00Jun 13, 15:27 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Mohammed bin Salman win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?$0.00Jun 13, 15:27 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Jair Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$0.00Jun 13, 15:27 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Benjamin Netanyahu win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?$0.00Jun 13, 15:26 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?$0.00Jun 13, 15:26 UTC
- TRADESELLWill 7 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$0.00Jun 13, 15:26 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 48
- Avg trade size
- $1.85
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 13, 09:45 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 14, 00:45 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 7 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.