Costly-Advertising
0x78af01a6ef09faf0389f9dc9b098a1d6339ed863
Wallet digest
Activity score
90/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
9
Open notional
$1.1K
Total PnL
$54.91
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Gold close at $3,200 or more at the end of 2025?
313 shares @ 95.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$313.16
$13.16
- NO
Xi Jinping out in 2025?
309 shares @ 97.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$309.28
$9.28
- NO
Will the US confirm that aliens exist in 2025?
184 shares @ 97.6¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$184.37
$4.37
- YES
Will Trump sell 0 Gold Cards in 2025?
154 shares @ 84.2¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$154.31
$24.31
- NO
Maduro in U.S. custody by December 31?
62 shares @ 97.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$61.86
$1.86
- NO
Trump out as President in 2025?
51 shares @ 97.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$51.12
$1.12
- NO
China coup attempt in 2025?
30 shares @ 98.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$30.36
$0.36
- NO
Will China invade Taiwan in 2025?
15 shares @ 97.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$15.34
$0.34
- NO
Will the US Government sell Bitcoin by December 31?
6 shares @ 98.1¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$6.12
$0.12
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Trump sell 0 Gold Cards in 2025?$20.00Dec 31, 13:30 UTC
- REDEEMFed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?$25.25Dec 31, 13:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYMaduro in U.S. custody by December 31?$60.00Dec 2, 09:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYChina coup attempt in 2025?$30.00Dec 2, 09:57 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ethereum reach $5,200 in November?$5.00Dec 2, 09:56 UTC
- REDEEMMaduro out by November 30, 2025?$83.07Dec 2, 09:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?$25.00Nov 27, 09:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US Government sell Bitcoin by December 31?$6.00Nov 27, 09:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US confirm that aliens exist in 2025?$100.00Nov 20, 10:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill China invade Taiwan in 2025?$15.00Nov 16, 13:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gold close at $3,200 or more at the end of 2025?$100.00Nov 11, 14:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US confirm that aliens exist in 2025?$80.00Nov 11, 14:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYMaduro out by November 30, 2025?$80.00Nov 11, 14:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump out as President in 2025?$50.00Nov 11, 14:18 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump remove 10% blanket tariff in 2025?$51.29Nov 10, 05:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump sell 0 Gold Cards in 2025?$110.00Nov 7, 07:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gold close at $3,200 or more at the end of 2025?$200.00Nov 7, 07:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump remove 10% blanket tariff in 2025?$120.00Nov 3, 05:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum reach $5,200 in November?$4.75Nov 3, 05:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYXi Jinping out in 2025?$300.00Nov 2, 01:29 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 17
- Avg trade size
- $79.53
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Nov 2, 01:29 UTC
- Last active
- Dec 31, 13:30 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.