Austere-Causeway
0x78b3a53523769cb8ba25cc2085d8845ac4014059
Wallet digest
Activity score
56/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
16
Open notional
$2.58
Total PnL
$-33.61
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 16- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 24, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET
3 shares @ 77.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 24, 2026$2.58
$0.59
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 22, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET
23 shares @ 55.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 22, 2026$0.00
$-12.80
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 22, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET
11 shares @ 18.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 22, 2026$0.00
$-1.99
- YES
Will there be 14–16 inches of snow in NYC this weekend?
10 shares @ 30.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-3.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 21, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET
9 shares @ 23.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 21, 2026$0.00
$-1.98
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 22, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET
5 shares @ 19.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 22, 2026$0.00
$-0.99
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 21, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET
5 shares @ 19.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 22, 2026$0.00
$-0.99
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 22, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET
5 shares @ 51.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 22, 2026$0.00
$-2.55
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 22, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET
4 shares @ 70.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 22, 2026$0.00
$-2.97
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 21, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET
4 shares @ 24.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 22, 2026$0.00
$-0.99
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 24, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET$2.00Feb 24, 23:32 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 22, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET$1.17Feb 22, 23:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be 14–16 inches of snow in NYC this weekend?$1.87Feb 22, 23:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be 14–16 inches of snow in NYC this weekend?$1.13Feb 22, 23:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 22, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET$1.00Feb 22, 22:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 22, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET$2.16Feb 22, 22:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 22, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET$0.39Feb 22, 22:01 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 22, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET$1.57Feb 22, 21:52 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 22, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET$3.77Feb 22, 21:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 22, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET$3.00Feb 22, 21:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 22, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET$3.00Feb 22, 21:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 22, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET$1.00Feb 22, 21:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 22, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET$1.00Feb 22, 21:10 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - February 22, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET$1.52Feb 22, 21:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 22, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET$1.00Feb 22, 21:07 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 22, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET$0.00Feb 22, 21:07 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 22, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET$0.00Feb 22, 21:07 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 22, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET$0.00Feb 22, 21:06 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 22, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET$0.00Feb 22, 21:06 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - February 22, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET$1.42Feb 22, 21:05 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 36
- Avg trade size
- $2.70
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 22, 16:38 UTC
- Last active
- Feb 24, 23:32 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".