Harmonious-Temporary
0x78b58d74d6a0d54210984d9edb300487f731b505
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
36
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-1.9K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 36- YES
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close at $165-$170 on the final day of trading of the week of Apr 6 – Apr 10?
748 shares @ 13.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 10, 2026$0.00
$-97.22
- NO
Will the South African Reserve Bank make no change to the repo rate after the March meeting?
685 shares @ 10.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 26, 2026$0.00
$-68.26
- UNDER
FK Shakhtar Donetsk vs. KKS Lech Poznań: O/U 1.5
640 shares @ 26.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 19, 2026$0.00
$-166.27
- NO
Will Amazon (AMZN) close at $195-$200 on the final day of trading of the week of Mar 23 – Mar 27?
577 shares @ 90.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 27, 2026$0.00
$-519.69
- NO
Will Apple (AAPL) close at $275-$280 on the final day of trading of the week of Feb 2 – Feb 6?
380 shares @ 60.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 6, 2026$0.00
$-228.65
- YES
The Bondi Parlay (Feb 20)
330 shares @ 19.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 20, 2026$0.00
$-63.63
- UNDER
Real Valladolid CF vs. CD Leganés: O/U 3.5
304 shares @ 74.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 14, 2026$0.00
$-225.00
- OVER
Eintracht Braunschweig vs. TSV Fortuna 95 Düsseldorf: O/U 1.5
304 shares @ 74.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 14, 2026$0.00
$-225.00
- UNDER
Real Zaragoza vs. Real Racing Club: O/U 1.5
262 shares @ 26.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 29, 2026$0.00
$-68.14
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,300 and $2,400 on February 20?
254 shares @ 3.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 20, 2026$0.00
$-8.13
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on June 24?$13.25Jul 6, 07:12 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on June 24?$13.98Jul 6, 07:12 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin dip to $47,500 in June?$16.07Jul 6, 07:12 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be above $1,700 on July 1?$17.20Jul 6, 07:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $1,700 on July 1?$16.17Jun 28, 01:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $47,500 in June?$15.96Jun 27, 11:09 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ethereum dip to $1,500 June 15-21?$18.39Jun 23, 06:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on June 24?$13.05Jun 20, 02:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on June 24?$13.14Jun 20, 00:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum dip to $1,500 June 15-21?$18.15Jun 17, 14:47 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on June 6?$45.83Jun 9, 05:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on June 6?$15.16Jun 2, 11:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on June 6?$15.15Jun 2, 08:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on June 6?$15.16Jun 2, 07:12 UTC
- REDEEMSpread: Aarhus GF (-1.5)$238.27Apr 7, 08:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NVIDIA (NVDA) close at $165-$170 on the final day of trading of the week of Apr 6 – Apr 10?$97.22Apr 5, 00:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Aarhus GF (-1.5)$181.09Apr 3, 09:32 UTC
- REDEEMWill Nike (NKE) beat quarterly earnings?$250.48Apr 3, 07:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Nike (NKE) beat quarterly earnings?$190.36Mar 27, 15:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Amazon (AMZN) close above $220 end of March?$25.46Mar 27, 07:58 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
30 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 57/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 30
- Avg trade size
- $115.71
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 20, 01:34 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 6, 07:12 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.