Bleak-Outrun
0x78b9f0923d7c1ee7ee9ab7f2202f3a463068a5fb
Wallet digest
Activity score
44/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$0.50
Total PnL
$-234.02
Realised
$-58.70
Win rate
30%
152 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- YES
Will Enrique Peñalosa win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jun 21, 2026$0.50
$-0.50
- YES
Will Charlie Davis win Survivor Season 50?
1552 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 20, 2026$0.00
$-1.55
- YES
Will Chelsea finish in the top 4 of the EPL 2025–26 standings?
1096 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 27, 2026$0.00
$-1.10
- YES
Will Marseille win the 2025–26 French Ligue 1?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 30, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from April 24 to May 1, 2026?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 1, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from April 24 to May 1, 2026?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 1, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Sam Stevens win the 2026 Masters tournament?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 13, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from April 17 to April 24, 2026?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 24, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 28, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will J.J. Spaun win the 2026 Masters tournament?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 13, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Trump and Putin meet next in Japan?$0.01Jun 9, 15:58 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Iran win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.20Jun 8, 11:03 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Sergio Fajardo win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?$0.18May 31, 15:50 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Haiti win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$0.60May 31, 14:04 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Vicky Dávila win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?$0.49May 31, 10:18 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Yoon Jae-ok win the 2026 Daegu mayoral election?$0.06May 31, 09:33 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin dip to $30,000 in May?$0.02May 30, 20:01 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Ethereum dip to $600 in May?$0.40May 30, 11:30 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Ethereum dip to $600 in May?$0.12May 30, 01:47 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Gina Viola win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?$0.06May 29, 09:22 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Gina Viola win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?$0.09May 29, 09:19 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Matt Sahr win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?$0.04May 29, 04:01 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bradley Barcola be the 2025/2026 top UCL goal scorer?$0.07May 28, 09:05 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Ethereum dip to $600 in May?$0.01May 28, 05:48 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Frank Donovan be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?$1.03May 27, 21:05 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump and Putin meet next in Ukraine?$0.05May 27, 19:03 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Jared Cannonier be the UFC Middleweight Champion on December 31, 2026?$0.02May 27, 18:21 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Ethereum dip to $600 in May?$0.02May 27, 14:44 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Ethereum dip to $600 in May?$0.02May 27, 12:58 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Ethereum dip to $600 in May?$0.02May 27, 12:54 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $0.29
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 23, 04:23 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 9, 15:58 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 152 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.