Surprised-Temp
0x78bb33fd1d2d90389548d732ae77886810703d21
Wallet digest
Activity score
48/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
3
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-61.03
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Marcel Ciolacu win the 2024 Romanian Presidential election?
35 shares @ 72.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 8, 2024$0.00
$-25.00
- YES
Will Newcastle win on 2025-01-18?
26 shares @ 61.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 18, 2025$0.00
$-16.03
- NO
Will Bournemouth win on 2025-01-18?
24 shares @ 82.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 18, 2025$0.00
$-20.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Newcastle win on 2025-01-18?$16.03Jan 18, 08:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bournemouth win on 2025-01-18?$20.00Jan 18, 08:31 UTC
- REDEEMWill Fulham win on 2024-12-22?$0.00Jan 2, 16:51 UTC
- REDEEMWill Chelsea win on 2024-12-22?$0.00Jan 2, 16:51 UTC
- REDEEMKings vs. Predators$0.00Dec 22, 06:43 UTC
- REDEEMTexans vs. Chiefs$12.20Dec 22, 06:43 UTC
- REDEEMSteelers vs. Ravens$13.33Dec 22, 06:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYKings vs. Predators$5.00Dec 21, 19:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYTexans vs. Chiefs$10.00Dec 21, 19:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYSteelers vs. Ravens$10.00Dec 21, 19:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Fulham win on 2024-12-22?$10.00Dec 21, 19:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Chelsea win on 2024-12-22?$10.00Dec 21, 19:15 UTC
- REDEEMFed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2024 meeting?$13.89Dec 21, 19:00 UTC
- REDEEMWill Fed cut interest rates 4 times in 2024?$29.85Dec 21, 19:00 UTC
- REDEEMWill Fine Gael win the most seats in the 2024 Irish general election?$0.00Dec 4, 20:04 UTC
- REDEEMWill Yamandú Orsi win the 2024 Uruguay presidential election?$11.76Dec 4, 20:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Fine Gael win the most seats in the 2024 Irish general election?$18.67Nov 19, 12:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Fine Gael win the most seats in the 2024 Irish general election?$30.00Nov 19, 12:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Marcel Ciolacu win the 2024 Romanian Presidential election?$25.00Nov 19, 12:10 UTC
- REDEEMTrump wins every swing state?$0.00Nov 11, 15:05 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 20
- Avg trade size
- $13.11
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Oct 14, 21:25 UTC
- Last active
- Jan 18, 08:31 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".