Probable-Reciprocity
0x78bc1114b7bf10b2b2696bd61d33d102a85d7eb8
Wallet digest
Activity score
75/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
1
Open notional
$6.86
Total PnL
$0.10
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Recent activity
- REDEEMWTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $109 on May 20?$3.57May 24, 02:14 UTC
- REDEEMWill Germany win Eurovision 2026?$17.67May 20, 04:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $109 on May 20?$3.54May 20, 02:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill John Cornyn win the Texas Republican Senate Primary runoff by 9% or more?$6.77May 20, 02:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Germany win Eurovision 2026?$17.60Apr 15, 09:20 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$22.31Apr 13, 08:53 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Apr 13, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Apr 12, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Apr 11, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Apr 10, 00:17 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Apr 9, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Apr 8, 00:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$22.26Apr 6, 14:49 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Apr 4, 00:10 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$17.96Apr 3, 23:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Apr 3, 00:19 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Apr 2, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Apr 1, 00:18 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Mar 31, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Mar 30, 00:16 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 32
- Avg trade size
- $14.18
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 9, 00:04 UTC
- Last active
- May 24, 02:14 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.