0x78bc152e9a65ebc0c93d077266cbb4b09a31f6e8
0x78bc152e9a65ebc0c93d077266cbb4b09a31f6e8
Wallet digest
Activity score
47/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
15
Open notional
$67.10
Total PnL
$-118.02
Realised
$-36.29
Win rate
0%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 15- YES
Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026?
42 shares @ 55.8¢·now 49.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$20.57
$-2.60
- YES
Will Juan Pablo Velasco win the 2026 Santa Cruz gubernatorial election?
14 shares @ 36.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 19, 2026$13.70
$8.70
- NO
Ukraine hits Moscow by February 28, 2026?
10 shares @ 98.3¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$10.15
$0.17
- YES
Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $1T and $1.25T at market close on IPO day?
42 shares @ 5.1¢·now 16.2¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$6.83
$4.68
- NO
Will Meta (META) close above $650 on February 24?
5 shares @ 98.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 24, 2026$5.09
$0.10
- YES
Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $750B and $1T at market close on IPO day?
42 shares @ 11.5¢·now 9.8¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$4.12
$-0.72
- YES
Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $1.25T and $1.5T at market close on IPO day?
42 shares @ 4.5¢·now 7.2¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$3.04
$1.14
- YES
Will OpenAI’s market cap be $1.5T or greater at market close on IPO day?
42 shares @ 7.0¢·now 5.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$2.28
$-0.67
- YES
Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $500B and $750B at market close on IPO day?
42 shares @ 8.0¢·now 1.8¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.73
$-2.60
- YES
Will OpenAI’s market cap be less than $500B at market close on IPO day?
41 shares @ 6.1¢·now 1.4¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.58
$-1.94
Recent activity
- REDEEMCharleston Cougars vs. Duke Blue Devils (W)$5.96Mar 20, 20:10 UTC
- REDEEMDota 2: Astini+5 vs LiXO eSports (BO3) - European Pro League Group A$5.09Mar 20, 16:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYDota 2: Astini+5 vs LiXO eSports (BO3) - European Pro League Group A$5.00Mar 20, 11:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYCharleston Cougars vs. Duke Blue Devils (W)$5.84Mar 20, 09:34 UTC
- REDEEMPenn Quakers vs. Illinois Fighting Illini$5.43Mar 20, 06:59 UTC
- REDEEMSiena Saints vs. Duke Blue Devils$5.57Mar 20, 00:43 UTC
- REDEEMLoL: Gen.G vs LYON (BO5) - First Stand Group B$5.29Mar 19, 19:23 UTC
- REDEEMJaren Jackson Jr.: Points O/U 21.5$5.05Mar 19, 15:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYLoL: Gen.G vs LYON (BO5) - First Stand Group B$5.23Mar 19, 07:28 UTC
- REDEEMCounter-Strike: FURIA vs TYLOO (BO3) - BLAST Open Rotterdam Group A$5.05Mar 19, 02:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYPenn Quakers vs. Illinois Fighting Illini$5.27Mar 19, 01:38 UTC
- REDEEMSpread: Galatasaray SK (-1.5)$8.98Mar 19, 00:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYCounter-Strike: FURIA vs TYLOO (BO3) - BLAST Open Rotterdam Group A$4.98Mar 18, 23:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYSiena Saints vs. Duke Blue Devils$5.50Mar 18, 23:06 UTC
- REDEEMSpread: Newcastle United FC (-2.5)$9.11Mar 18, 23:00 UTC
- REDEEMWill Micron Technology (MU) beat quarterly earnings?$5.30Mar 18, 22:39 UTC
- REDEEMWill Stephen Miran dissent the next Fed decision?$5.05Mar 18, 20:18 UTC
- REDEEMWill Macy's (M) beat quarterly earnings?$5.05Mar 18, 14:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Galatasaray SK (-1.5)$8.72Mar 18, 14:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Newcastle United FC (-2.5)$8.93Mar 18, 13:32 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 24
- Avg trade size
- $5.39
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 16, 23:58 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 20, 20:10 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.