Reasonable-Artery
0x78c21a36cf7b9079cb131d2ae1dcb437ae0993df
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
34
Open notional
$0.01
Total PnL
$-159.63
Realised
$0.57
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 34- YES
Will Tarcisio de Freitas win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
10 shares @ 21.0¢·now 0.1¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$0.01
$-1.99
- YES
Will Israel strike Gaza on November 30?
574 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 21, 2025$0.00
$-6.00
- YES
Maduro out in 2025?
133 shares @ 24.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-32.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 4, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET
122 shares @ 2.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 4, 2025$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Will Donald Trump be the #1 searched person on Google this year?
100 shares @ 10.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will Gerardo Fabricio Alvarado Muñoz win the 2026 Costa Rican presidential election?
97 shares @ 6.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 1, 2026$0.00
$-6.00
- YES
Will André Ventura win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?
88 shares @ 7.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 25, 2026$0.00
$-6.72
- YES
Will Catalin Drula be the next Mayor of Bucharest?
71 shares @ 7.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 7, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 6, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET
65 shares @ 4.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 6, 2025$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?
50 shares @ 30.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-15.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill the Logan Paul 1st Edition Charizard sale price be over 700k?$18.52Feb 25, 02:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Beautiful" first during the 2026 State of the Union address?$1.00Feb 25, 02:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Bibi" or "Netanyahu" during the State of the Union address?$3.00Feb 25, 01:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?$15.00Jan 7, 16:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Logan Paul 1st Edition Charizard sale price be over 700k?$10.00Dec 31, 19:25 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Trump" while addressing the nation on December 17?$8.06Dec 23, 21:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Peace in the Middle East" while addressing the nation on December 17?$2.61Dec 18, 02:17 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump say "Peace in the Middle East" while addressing the nation on December 17?$2.61Dec 18, 02:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Peace in the Middle East" while addressing the nation on December 17?$1.00Dec 18, 02:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Big Beautiful Bill" while addressing the nation on December 17?$2.00Dec 18, 02:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Election" while addressing the nation on December 17?$2.00Dec 18, 01:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Eight War" or "Eighth War" while addressing the nation on December 17?$10.00Dec 18, 01:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Trump" while addressing the nation on December 17?$5.00Dec 18, 01:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Venezuela military engagement by December 31?$2.00Dec 18, 01:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Venezuela military engagement by December 23?$2.89Dec 18, 01:01 UTC
- TRADESELLWill turnout in the 2025 Honduran general election be between 55% and 60%?$8.85Dec 17, 19:47 UTC
- TRADESELLWill turnout in the 2025 Honduran general election be between 60% and 65%?$14.26Dec 17, 19:47 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Nasry Juan Asfura Zablah win the 2025 Honduras presidential election?$24.46Dec 17, 19:47 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Salvador Nasralla win the 2025 Honduras presidential election?$46.60Dec 17, 19:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Venezuela military engagement by December 31?$5.00Dec 17, 19:38 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 46
- Avg trade size
- $4.57
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 5, 16:03 UTC
- Last active
- Feb 25, 02:22 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".