Shocked-First
0x78c4cf6af37b6757c33b04a8d12b014730c5d99e
Wallet digest
Activity score
75/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
7
Open notional
$424.58
Total PnL
$-731.33
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
200 shares @ 92.0¢·now 97.7¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$195.40
$11.40
- YES
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14?
200 shares @ 46.0¢·now 47.5¢·exp Jun 14, 2026$95.00
$3.00
- YES
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13?
169 shares @ 59.0¢·now 40.5¢·exp Jun 13, 2026$68.64
$-31.36
- NO
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in June?
130 shares @ 77.0¢·now 50.5¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$65.53
$-34.47
- NO
Will Claude Mythos be released on or prior to June 9?
6132 shares @ 8.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-539.95
- NO
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 9, 2026?
417 shares @ 24.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 10, 2026$0.00
$-100.00
- NO
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 30, 2026?
101 shares @ 39.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-39.96
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Brazil win on 2026-06-13?$101.23Jun 13, 19:45 UTC
- REDEEMWill United States win on 2026-06-12?$204.08Jun 13, 05:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill United States win on 2026-06-12?$101.53Jun 11, 22:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Netherlands win on 2026-06-14?$92.00Jun 11, 11:12 UTC
- MAKER_REBATE$4.98Jun 10, 00:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in June?$100.92Jun 9, 16:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Claude Mythos be released on or prior to June 9?$182.70Jun 9, 16:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Claude Mythos be released on or prior to June 9?$7.07Jun 9, 16:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Claude Mythos be released on or prior to June 9?$192.00Jun 9, 16:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Claude Mythos be released on or prior to June 9?$18.24Jun 9, 16:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$21.53Jun 9, 16:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$162.47Jun 9, 16:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Claude Mythos be released on or prior to June 9?$7.95Jun 9, 16:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Claude Mythos be released on or prior to June 9?$120.00Jun 9, 16:17 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET$264.21Jun 9, 15:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET$5.03Jun 9, 15:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET$100.63Jun 9, 15:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET$25.17Jun 9, 15:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET$100.63Jun 9, 15:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET$5.04Jun 9, 15:28 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 35
- Avg trade size
- $46.86
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 12, 10:11 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 13, 19:45 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.